Kansas State

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

13.9%Kansas State

86.1%Baylor

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBaylor -12.6

PROJECTED TOTAL164.0

MODEL MONEYLINEBaylor -619

Baylor

16-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreKansas State 76

Projected Total164.0

Projected ScoreBaylor 88

Team Comparison

Kansas StateMetricBaylor

47.1MMH Power Index58.9

107.8Offensive Efficiency116.7

110.9Defensive Efficiency109.5

-3.1Net Efficiency7.2

5.5Strength of Schedule4.0

-14.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.2

73.8Tempo69.7

53.5%Effective FG%54.4%

17.4%Turnover Rate16.4%

29.4%Offensive Rebound %37.5%

27.4%Free Throw Rate34.8%

-2.3Average Margin5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Baylor HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY86.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBaylor holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.9–47.1), offensive efficiency (116.7–107.8), defensive efficiency (109.5–110.9), net efficiency (7.2–-3.1).

Kansas State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.5–4.0).

Final

Kansas State

62—70

Baylor

Baylor by 8 • 57.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Kansas StateTEAM STATBaylor

24-55FG21-56

44.0%FG%38.0%

9-243PT11-29

38.0%3PT%38.0%

5-9FT17-21

56.0%FT%81.0%

32Rebounds35

10Offensive Rebounds13

16Assists14

9Turnovers4

2Steals3

4Blocks2

19Fouls15

Player Box Score

Kansas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
David N'Guessan	Guard	30	6-10	0-0	1-4	11	4	0	2	13
Dug McDaniel	G	35	5-11	2-5	0-0	4	2	0	0	12
Brendan Hausen	G	22	4-10	4-9	0-0	2	0	0	0	12
Max Jones	Guard	36	3-8	1-2	2-2	1	3	1	0	9
Coleman Hawkins	Guard	35	3-9	0-3	2-3	9	7	0	1	8
David Castillo	G	16	1-4	1-4	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
C.J. Jones	G	10	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	3
Mobi Ikegwuruka	G	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Ugonna Onyenso	C	13	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	0

Baylor

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
VJ Edgecombe	Guard	38	8-13	3-7	11-12	1	3	2	0	30
Jalen Celestine	G	30	5-8	4-7	4-5	7	0	0	0	18
Robert Wright III	G	33	3-11	1-3	1-2	1	5	0	0	8
Jason Asemota	F	14	2-6	1-4	0-0	3	1	0	1	5
Jayden Nunn	Guard	35	1-6	1-5	1-2	5	2	1	0	4
Norchad Omier	Forward	34	1-9	1-3	0-0	13	3	0	1	3
Josh Ojianwuna	F	16	1-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

57.7Possessions57.7

107.5Offensive Efficiency121.3

121.3Defensive Efficiency107.5

-13.9Net Efficiency13.9

51.8%Effective FG%47.3%

52.3%True Shooting %53.1%

15.4%Turnover Rate7.0%

16.4%Free Throw Rate37.5%

43.6%3-Point Rate51.8%

1.78Assist / Turnover3.50

Game Summary

Baylor won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 57.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.