Florida State

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

43.4%Florida State

56.6%California

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCalifornia -3.7

PROJECTED TOTAL158.0

MODEL MONEYLINECalifornia -130

California

22-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreFlorida State 77

Projected Total158.0

Projected ScoreCalifornia 81

Team Comparison

Florida StateMetricCalifornia

58.7MMH Power Index56.5

111.9Offensive Efficiency111.8

108.5Defensive Efficiency104.8

3.4Net Efficiency7.0

5.7Strength of Schedule2.8

7.6Last 10 Net Efficiency1.8

71.8Tempo69.9

52.4%Effective FG%52.6%

15.2%Turnover Rate14.9%

30.3%Offensive Rebound %26.6%

35.2%Free Throw Rate36.8%

2.4Average Margin4.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

California HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY56.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCalifornia holds the advantage in defensive efficiency (104.8–108.5), net efficiency (7.0–3.4), shooting efficiency (52.6–52.4), ball security (14.9–15.2).

Florida State COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (58.7–56.5), offensive efficiency (111.9–111.8), strength of schedule (5.7–2.8).

Final

Florida State

68—77

California

California by 9 • 65.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Florida StateTEAM STATCalifornia

31-74FG26-69

42.0%FG%38.0%

3-153PT6-23

20.0%3PT%26.0%

3-5FT19-22

60.0%FT%86.0%

42Rebounds47

21Offensive Rebounds24

12Assists13

10Turnovers10

5Steals6

9Blocks5

19Fouls12

Player Box Score

Florida State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jamir Watkins	Guard	29	7-20	1-5	3-4	8	3	2	0	18
Malique Ewin	F	28	8-15	0-0	0-1	10	2	0	1	16
Jerry Deng	F	19	5-8	1-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	11
Taylor Bol Bowen	F	35	4-9	1-2	0-0	7	2	1	4	9
Daquan Davis	G	37	4-14	0-3	0-0	4	2	2	1	8
Bostyn Holt	Guard	15	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Alier Maluk	F	11	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	1	2
Christian Nitu	F	1	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Justin Thomas	G	25	0-3	0-2	0-0	3	1	0	2	0

California

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jeremiah Wilkinson	G	32	6-17	2-8	4-4	2	3	0	0	18
Mady Sissoko	Center	29	5-5	0-0	4-4	13	0	2	5	14
Joshua Ola-Joseph	F	18	5-8	3-5	1-1	1	1	2	0	14
Rytis Petraitis	F	31	5-12	0-1	2-2	13	4	1	0	12
DeJuan Campbell	G	31	2-10	1-4	6-6	2	1	0	0	11
Lee Dort	F	12	2-3	0-0	1-2	4	1	0	0	5
Jovan Blacksher Jr.	Guard	32	1-11	0-4	1-3	3	2	1	0	3
Christian Tucker	Guard	12	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Spencer Mahoney	F	3	0-2	0-1	0-0	3	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.5Possessions65.5

103.8Offensive Efficiency117.6

117.6Defensive Efficiency103.8

-13.7Net Efficiency13.7

43.9%Effective FG%42.0%

44.5%True Shooting %48.5%

15.3%Turnover Rate15.3%

6.8%Free Throw Rate31.9%

20.3%3-Point Rate33.3%

1.20Assist / Turnover1.30

Game Summary

California won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 65.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.