Georgia

22-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

25.2%Georgia

74.8%Arkansas

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas -6.7

PROJECTED TOTAL177.2

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas -297

Arkansas

28-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreGeorgia 85

Projected Total177.2

Projected ScoreArkansas 92

Team Comparison

GeorgiaMetricArkansas

64.1MMH Power Index69.3

119.7Offensive Efficiency122.2

106.9Defensive Efficiency109.8

12.8Net Efficiency12.4

4.9Strength of Schedule8.6

-2.7Last 10 Net Efficiency3.4

74.7Tempo73.8

54.4%Effective FG%56.4%

14.3%Turnover Rate12.2%

34.5%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

37.6%Free Throw Rate36.5%

9.6Average Margin9.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY74.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.3–64.1), offensive efficiency (122.2–119.7), strength of schedule (8.6–4.9), recent form (3.4–-2.7).

Georgia COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (106.9–109.8), net efficiency (12.8–12.4), offensive rebounding (34.5–31.8).

Final

Georgia

65—68

Arkansas

Arkansas by 3 • 65.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

GeorgiaTEAM STATArkansas

20-46FG18-58

43.0%FG%31.0%

5-143PT3-23

36.0%3PT%13.0%

20-29FT29-34

69.0%FT%85.0%

30Rebounds40

8Offensive Rebounds18

7Assists6

13Turnovers10

7Steals8

3Blocks1

26Fouls23

Player Box Score

Georgia

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Asa Newell	Forward	28	5-8	0-2	8-9	8	0	1	0	18
RJ Godfrey	F	21	4-6	0-0	3-5	3	0	0	0	11
Silas Demary Jr.	G	35	3-8	2-4	1-1	2	0	2	0	9
Blue Cain	G	21	3-6	2-3	0-0	3	1	0	0	8
Tyrin Lawrence	Guard	22	2-5	1-2	0-0	2	4	0	0	5
De'Shayne Montgomery	G	20	1-5	0-0	3-7	3	1	2	0	5
Somtochukwu Cyril	C	18	0-0	0-0	5-6	4	0	1	2	5
Dakota Leffew	Guard	23	1-6	0-3	0-0	2	1	1	0	2
Dylan James	F	9	1-2	0-0	0-1	0	0	0	0	2
Justin Abson	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0

Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Adou Thiero	Forward	34	5-8	0-1	7-9	11	1	1	1	17
Karter Knox	G	34	1-5	0-3	11-13	6	0	1	0	13
Johnell Davis	Guard	37	3-14	1-10	2-2	4	2	3	0	9
D.J. Wagner	G	33	3-14	0-3	2-2	3	3	1	0	8
Zvonimir Ivisic	C	21	2-7	1-4	2-2	4	0	0	0	7
Trevon Brazile	F	11	2-3	1-2	2-2	3	0	0	0	7
Jonas Aidoo	Forward	18	2-6	0-0	1-2	4	0	1	0	5
Billy Richmond III	G	12	0-1	0-0	2-2	0	0	1	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

65.5Possessions65.5

99.2Offensive Efficiency103.8

103.8Defensive Efficiency99.2

-4.6Net Efficiency4.6

48.9%Effective FG%33.6%

54.4%True Shooting %45.9%

20.1%Turnover Rate15.1%

63.0%Free Throw Rate58.6%

30.4%3-Point Rate39.7%

0.54Assist / Turnover0.60

Game Summary

Arkansas won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 65.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.