Texas State

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

66.7%Texas State

33.3%Louisiana

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTexas State -4.1

PROJECTED TOTAL139.0

MODEL MONEYLINETexas State -200

Louisiana

11-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTexas State 72

Projected Total139.0

Projected ScoreLouisiana 67

Team Comparison

Texas StateMetricLouisiana

49.4MMH Power Index38.6

107.7Offensive Efficiency99.3

103.4Defensive Efficiency110.2

4.3Net Efficiency-10.9

-4.7Strength of Schedule1.5

9.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.0

68.6Tempo64.1

51.3%Effective FG%47.1%

18.4%Turnover Rate16.8%

34.3%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

36.0%Free Throw Rate29.5%

2.9Average Margin-7.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Texas State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY66.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTexas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.4–38.6), offensive efficiency (107.7–99.3), defensive efficiency (103.4–110.2), net efficiency (4.3–-10.9).

Louisiana COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.5–-4.7), ball security (16.8–18.4).

Final

Texas State

89—74

Louisiana

Texas State by 15 • 70.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Texas StateTEAM STATLouisiana

25-39FG22-57

64.0%FG%39.0%

6-113PT5-21

55.0%3PT%24.0%

33-39FT25-32

85.0%FT%78.0%

32Rebounds21

5Offensive Rebounds10

11Assists7

17Turnovers9

3Steals8

6Blocks—

18Fouls21

Player Box Score

Texas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tylan Pope	Forward	36	6-11	0-1	13-14	5	2	1	3	25
Joshua O'Garro	G	39	4-7	1-3	8-10	9	2	0	0	17
Dylan Dawson	Guard	28	4-6	3-5	2-2	6	2	1	0	13
Kaden Gumbs	G	29	4-5	0-0	4-4	0	1	1	1	12
Austin Green	F	20	5-6	0-0	2-4	4	1	0	2	12
Coleton Benson	G	22	2-3	2-2	3-3	1	2	0	0	9
Christian Turner	Forward	22	0-1	0-0	1-2	5	1	0	0	1
Nate Deer	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Jaylen Jones	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Louisiana

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Brandon Hardy	G	31	5-11	1-3	4-6	0	1	1	15
Mostapha El Moutaouakkil	G	22	1-8	0-0	10-12	3	1	1	12
Christian Wright	Guard	21	2-5	0-3	5-6	0	2	0	9
Kyran Ratliff	F	15	4-6	1-1	0-0	3	0	0	9
London Fields	G	14	2-4	2-3	1-2	2	0	1	7
Kyndall Davis	G	21	2-6	1-4	0-0	4	0	2	5
Zeke Cook	F	20	2-4	0-0	1-2	3	0	0	5
Kentrell Garnett	Guard	37	1-8	0-5	2-2	1	3	2	4
Chancellor White	G	10	2-4	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	4
Jeremiah Evans	F	9	1-1	0-0	2-2	1	0	1	4

Advanced Game Stats

70.4Possessions70.4

126.4Offensive Efficiency105.1

105.1Defensive Efficiency126.4

21.3Net Efficiency-21.3

71.8%Effective FG%43.0%

77.4%True Shooting %51.2%

24.5%Turnover Rate12.6%

100.0%Free Throw Rate56.1%

28.2%3-Point Rate36.8%

0.65Assist / Turnover0.78

Game Summary

Texas State won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 70.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.