UMBC

24-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

80.3%UMBC

19.7%UAlbany

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUMBC -7.8

PROJECTED TOTAL138.5

MODEL MONEYLINEUMBC -408

UAlbany

11-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUMBC 73

Projected Total138.5

Projected ScoreUAlbany 65

Team Comparison

UMBCMetricUAlbany

59.1MMH Power Index41.9

113.0Offensive Efficiency107.9

99.0Defensive Efficiency108.8

14.0Net Efficiency-0.9

-5.6Strength of Schedule-6.1

24.7Last 10 Net Efficiency0.0

65.5Tempo64.3

54.3%Effective FG%52.8%

14.3%Turnover Rate18.6%

25.2%Offensive Rebound %34.3%

34.1%Free Throw Rate25.0%

9.1Average Margin-0.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UMBC HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY80.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUMBC holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.1–41.9), offensive efficiency (113.0–107.9), defensive efficiency (99.0–108.8), net efficiency (14.0–-0.9).

UAlbany COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (34.3–25.2).

Final

UMBC

92—87

UAlbany

UMBC by 5 • 80.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UMBCTEAM STATUAlbany

28-48FG31-78

58.0%FG%40.0%

5-153PT9-27

33.0%3PT%33.0%

31-44FT16-26

70.0%FT%62.0%

38Rebounds41

5Offensive Rebounds19

13Assists15

17Turnovers9

6Steals9

7Blocks1

19Fouls27

Player Box Score

UMBC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bryce Johnson	Guard	39	6-10	2-4	9-13	2	2	0	1	23
Marcus Banks Jr.	G	35	6-11	2-7	7-7	6	1	3	0	21
Ace Valentine	G	39	6-11	1-3	5-5	3	2	1	0	18
Josh Odunowo	F	26	5-5	0-0	3-9	5	3	0	2	13
Regimantas Ciunys	F	25	1-3	0-0	4-6	10	1	1	3	6
Marlon Short	Guard	15	2-3	0-0	0-0	3	2	0	1	4
JC Harris	Guard	12	1-2	0-0	2-2	1	0	1	0	4
Devan Sapp	Guard	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Louie Jordan	F	27	0-1	0-1	1-2	5	1	0	0	1
Daylon Dickerson	F	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

UAlbany

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Amar'e Marshall	G	43	10-20	3-10	2-2	5	3	2	0	25
Byron Joshua	Guard	41	5-16	2-6	5-6	4	3	2	0	17
Justin Neely	F	31	5-15	0-0	2-4	7	3	0	0	12
Amir Lindsey	G	25	4-6	3-4	0-0	0	1	1	1	11
DeMarr Langford Jr.	Not Available	36	2-6	0-0	4-9	11	2	1	0	8
Kacper Klaczek	F	29	3-7	0-3	2-3	6	2	1	0	8
Kheni Briggs	G	13	1-5	1-4	0-0	3	0	2	0	3
Bautista Giralt	C	2	1-1	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	3
Zacharie Matulu	G	5	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

80.7Possessions80.7

114.0Offensive Efficiency107.8

107.8Defensive Efficiency114.0

6.2Net Efficiency-6.2

63.5%Effective FG%45.5%

66.8%True Shooting %48.1%

21.0%Turnover Rate11.2%

91.7%Free Throw Rate33.3%

31.3%3-Point Rate34.6%

0.76Assist / Turnover1.67

Game Summary

UMBC won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 80.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.