Marist

19-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

76.6%Marist

23.4%Niagara

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMarist -8.0

PROJECTED TOTAL132.7

MODEL MONEYLINEMarist -327

Niagara

8-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMarist 70

Projected Total132.7

Projected ScoreNiagara 62

Team Comparison

MaristMetricNiagara

51MMH Power Index35.8

104.3Offensive Efficiency100.8

95.6Defensive Efficiency112.4

8.7Net Efficiency-11.6

-3.2Strength of Schedule-0.8

2.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.6

66.8Tempo63.4

49.9%Effective FG%50.9%

16.8%Turnover Rate18.8%

29.4%Offensive Rebound %24.9%

26.1%Free Throw Rate27.3%

5.8Average Margin-7.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Marist HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY76.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMarist holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.0–35.8), offensive efficiency (104.3–100.8), defensive efficiency (95.6–112.4), net efficiency (8.7–-11.6).

Niagara COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.8–-3.2), shooting efficiency (50.9–49.9), free throw rate (27.3–26.1).

Final

Marist

67—65

Niagara

Marist by 2 • 65.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MaristTEAM STATNiagara

28-58FG25-52

48.0%FG%48.0%

8-223PT2-11

36.0%3PT%18.0%

3-5FT13-18

60.0%FT%72.0%

31Rebounds29

11Offensive Rebounds9

23Assists11

15Turnovers15

7Steals10

2Blocks4

18Fouls15

Player Box Score

Marist

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jadin Collins-Roberts	G	43	5-12	2-5	0-0	3	11	1	0	12
Tarik Watson	C	16	6-7	0-0	0-0	4	2	1	1	12
Josh Pascarelli	G	40	4-7	3-5	0-0	2	3	0	0	11
Jackson Price	Forward	20	4-6	1-2	0-0	2	2	1	0	9
Jaden Daughtry	F	27	4-9	0-3	0-0	6	2	4	1	8
Elijah Lewis	G	31	2-11	0-3	2-3	3	1	0	0	6
Travis Roberts	SG	15	2-3	2-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	6
Martin Kawa	G	6	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Jason Schofield	C	9	0-1	0-0	1-2	1	2	0	0	1
Trace Salton	F	14	0-1	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Parby Kabamba	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Niagara

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Josiah Davis	G	32	4-7	0-0	5-6	5	4	1	0	13
Justice Smith	Forward	31	6-12	0-0	1-2	5	1	4	1	13
Jaeden Marshall	G	30	4-8	2-6	2-2	2	1	1	2	12
Olumide Adelodun	Forward	30	4-9	0-2	3-4	6	2	1	0	11
Jhaylon Martinez	Center	23	3-4	0-0	1-2	5	0	0	0	7
Will Shortt	F	15	2-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	2	0	4
Justin Page	G	35	1-4	0-0	1-2	0	2	0	1	3
Jahari Williamson	G	21	1-5	0-2	0-0	2	0	1	0	2
Damondre McKnight	Guard	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.5Possessions65.5

102.3Offensive Efficiency99.2

99.2Defensive Efficiency102.3

3.1Net Efficiency-3.1

55.2%Effective FG%50.0%

55.5%True Shooting %53.7%

23.3%Turnover Rate22.5%

8.6%Free Throw Rate34.6%

37.9%3-Point Rate21.2%

1.53Assist / Turnover0.73

Game Summary

Marist won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 65.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.