Marshall

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

72.1%Marshall

27.9%Georgia State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMarshall -5.2

PROJECTED TOTAL154.6

MODEL MONEYLINEMarshall -258

Georgia State

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMarshall 80

Projected Total154.6

Projected ScoreGeorgia State 75

Team Comparison

MarshallMetricGeorgia State

52MMH Power Index38.9

114.7Offensive Efficiency101.3

110.3Defensive Efficiency107.5

4.4Net Efficiency-6.2

0.9Strength of Schedule-1.7

-4.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-10.9

70.7Tempo69.5

55.2%Effective FG%45.3%

16.5%Turnover Rate15.6%

32.1%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

29.7%Free Throw Rate37.4%

3.1Average Margin-4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Marshall HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY72.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMarshall holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (52.0–38.9), offensive efficiency (114.7–101.3), net efficiency (4.4–-6.2), strength of schedule (0.9–-1.7).

Georgia State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (107.5–110.3), ball security (15.6–16.5), free throw rate (37.4–29.7).

Final

Marshall

92—79

Georgia State

Marshall by 13 • 68.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MarshallTEAM STATGeorgia State

31-58FG30-71

53.0%FG%42.0%

12-193PT7-19

63.0%3PT%37.0%

18-21FT12-16

86.0%FT%75.0%

36Rebounds33

9Offensive Rebounds14

18Assists14

10Turnovers4

—Steals6

10Blocks4

15Fouls20

Player Box Score

Marshall

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	BLK	PTS
Jalen Speer	G	39	8-12	5-8	4-5	3	7	0	25
Obinna Anochili-Killen	Forward	31	9-16	1-2	4-4	10	2	9	23
Mikal Dawson	Guard	36	4-9	4-7	5-6	7	1	0	17
Wyatt Fricks	F	20	5-5	2-2	0-0	3	2	1	12
Nate Martin	Forward	25	4-9	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	8
Kai Spears	G	16	0-1	0-0	3-4	4	1	0	3
Dezayne Mingo	G	22	0-3	0-0	2-2	4	5	0	2
Jakob Gibbs	Forward	7	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	2
Cade Gibbs	Forward	4	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Georgia State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cesare Edwards	Center	34	8-21	0-1	5-6	9	1	0	2	21
Toneari Lane	G	38	7-14	2-6	2-2	1	2	2	0	18
Nick McMullen	Forward	37	6-15	0-0	0-2	12	2	0	1	12
Malachi Brown	G	25	3-8	2-4	2-2	2	5	0	0	10
Jelani Hamilton	G	35	3-9	2-7	1-2	3	1	2	1	9
Malik Ferguson	G	25	3-3	1-1	2-2	2	2	0	0	9
Jason Jackson	Guard	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	2	0	0
Dhiaukuei Manyiel Dut	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.8Possessions68.8

133.7Offensive Efficiency114.8

114.8Defensive Efficiency133.7

18.9Net Efficiency-18.9

63.8%Effective FG%47.2%

67.7%True Shooting %50.3%

14.5%Turnover Rate5.8%

36.2%Free Throw Rate22.5%

32.8%3-Point Rate26.8%

1.80Assist / Turnover3.50

Game Summary

Marshall won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 68.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.