Fairfield

21-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

66.7%Fairfield

33.3%Manhattan

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADFairfield -4.3

PROJECTED TOTAL151.2

MODEL MONEYLINEFairfield -200

Manhattan

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreFairfield 78

Projected Total151.2

Projected ScoreManhattan 73

Team Comparison

FairfieldMetricManhattan

50.1MMH Power Index39.3

109.6Offensive Efficiency107.1

105.4Defensive Efficiency114.2

4.2Net Efficiency-7.1

-3.4Strength of Schedule-3.6

3.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-3.5

67.8Tempo69.1

49.1%Effective FG%48.5%

15.0%Turnover Rate15.4%

36.0%Offensive Rebound %29.8%

28.4%Free Throw Rate34.8%

2.8Average Margin-4.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Fairfield HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY66.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMFairfield holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.1–39.3), offensive efficiency (109.6–107.1), defensive efficiency (105.4–114.2), net efficiency (4.2–-7.1).

Manhattan COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (34.8–28.4).

Final

Fairfield

87—84

Manhattan

Fairfield by 3 • 73.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

FairfieldTEAM STATManhattan

29-74FG29-64

39.0%FG%45.0%

13-383PT8-25

34.0%3PT%32.0%

16-18FT18-21

89.0%FT%86.0%

40Rebounds43

17Offensive Rebounds14

16Assists13

7Turnovers14

9Steals5

3Blocks1

21Fouls15

Player Box Score

Fairfield

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Prophet Johnson	G	37	6-15	1-3	2-2	11	1	3	0	15
Kyle Jenkins	Forward	33	6-8	1-3	2-2	6	1	0	0	15
Braden Sparks	G	32	4-13	4-12	3-4	5	4	1	0	15
Deon Perry	Guard	20	4-10	3-8	2-2	0	2	2	0	13
Jamie Bergens	Guard	39	4-13	2-8	0-0	4	1	1	0	10
Louis Bleechmore	Guard	18	3-7	2-4	2-2	2	1	1	0	10
Birima Seck	Forward	19	1-5	0-0	3-4	7	3	1	1	5
Peyton Smith	F	16	1-3	0-0	2-2	3	1	0	2	4
Michael Rogan	G	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0	0
Isaac Munkadi	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Manhattan

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Will Sydnor	F	36	8-16	3-7	2-2	6	2	2	1	21
Wesley Robinson	Guard	42	8-13	2-5	2-2	9	2	0	0	20
Shaquil Bender	G	38	8-16	2-8	0-0	3	2	2	0	18
Devin Dinkins	G	34	2-6	1-3	10-11	4	2	0	0	15
Jaden Winston	G	33	2-6	0-1	2-2	3	3	1	0	6
Alijah Curry	Forward	6	1-2	0-0	1-1	3	1	0	0	3
Masiah Gilyard	G	36	0-5	0-1	1-3	11	1	0	0	1

Advanced Game Stats

73.3Possessions73.3

118.7Offensive Efficiency114.6

114.6Defensive Efficiency118.7

4.1Net Efficiency-4.1

48.0%Effective FG%51.6%

52.7%True Shooting %56.8%

9.6%Turnover Rate18.9%

24.3%Free Throw Rate32.8%

51.4%3-Point Rate39.1%

2.29Assist / Turnover0.93

Game Summary

Fairfield won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 73.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Turnover Rate, Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.