Austin Peay

22-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

39.7%Austin Peay

60.3%Central Arkansas

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCentral Arkansas -3.1

PROJECTED TOTAL158.5

MODEL MONEYLINECentral Arkansas -152

Central Arkansas

22-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAustin Peay 78

Projected Total158.5

Projected ScoreCentral Arkansas 81

Team Comparison

Austin PeayMetricCentral Arkansas

54.8MMH Power Index54

115.0Offensive Efficiency113.9

103.1Defensive Efficiency105.2

11.9Net Efficiency8.7

-5.8Strength of Schedule-3.9

8.1Last 10 Net Efficiency9.8

71.0Tempo71.0

53.9%Effective FG%54.3%

15.3%Turnover Rate15.3%

30.3%Offensive Rebound %29.6%

39.0%Free Throw Rate30.7%

8.4Average Margin6.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Austin Peay HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAustin Peay holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.8–54.0), offensive efficiency (115.0–113.9), defensive efficiency (103.1–105.2), net efficiency (11.9–8.7).

Central Arkansas COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-3.9–-5.8), recent form (9.8–8.1), shooting efficiency (54.3–53.9).

Final

Austin Peay

73—71

Central Arkansas

Austin Peay by 2 • 68.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Austin PeayTEAM STATCentral Arkansas

27-66FG28-60

41.0%FG%47.0%

9-223PT9-24

41.0%3PT%38.0%

10-13FT6-9

77.0%FT%67.0%

34Rebounds39

10Offensive Rebounds9

15Assists15

6Turnovers13

9Steals5

3Blocks7

12Fouls15

Player Box Score

Austin Peay

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaac Haney	Guard	24	7-13	2-6	2-2	1	3	2	0	18
Sai Witt	Forward	26	7-15	0-0	3-5	9	0	0	0	17
Anton Brookshire	PG	39	5-14	4-9	1-2	1	6	3	0	15
Tate McCubbin	G	28	3-7	2-4	2-2	7	0	0	0	10
Tekao Carpenter	G	13	1-4	1-2	2-2	1	1	1	0	5
LJ Thomas	G	33	2-7	0-1	0-0	5	5	3	0	4
Quan Lax	PG	20	2-5	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	1	4
Hansel Enmanuel	PG	13	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	2	0
JaVar Daniel	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Darius Dawson	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Central Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Layne Taylor	G	36	6-16	2-8	0-0	2	0	0	2	14
Brayden Fagbemi	G	37	4-9	3-5	2-3	3	10	2	1	13
Mike Evbagharu	G	32	4-9	1-2	2-4	10	4	1	0	11
Cole McCormick	F	34	4-9	1-4	0-0	6	0	0	1	9
Elias Cato	Forward	29	3-5	1-2	2-2	7	1	0	3	9
Nehemiah Turner	F	8	4-5	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	8
Ben Fox	Guard	7	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	0	1	0	3
Diogo Seixas	Forward	8	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Ubong-Abasi Etim	C	8	1-2	0-0	0-0	5	0	1	0	2
Jabari West Jr.	Forward	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.3Possessions68.3

106.9Offensive Efficiency104.0

104.0Defensive Efficiency106.9

2.9Net Efficiency-2.9

47.7%Effective FG%54.2%

50.6%True Shooting %55.2%

8.8%Turnover Rate19.0%

19.7%Free Throw Rate15.0%

33.3%3-Point Rate40.0%

2.50Assist / Turnover1.15

Game Summary

Austin Peay won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 68.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Turnover Rate, Effective FG%, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.