Tarleton State

14-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

43.4%Tarleton State

56.6%Abilene Christian

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAbilene Christian -1.9

PROJECTED TOTAL146.2

MODEL MONEYLINEAbilene Christian -130

Abilene Christian

14-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTarleton State 72

Projected Total146.2

Projected ScoreAbilene Christian 74

Team Comparison

Tarleton StateMetricAbilene Christian

44.6MMH Power Index42.4

103.2Offensive Efficiency101.1

101.6Defensive Efficiency104.1

1.6Net Efficiency-3.0

-2.3Strength of Schedule-1.4

-6.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.3

72.2Tempo69.6

49.0%Effective FG%48.9%

19.9%Turnover Rate20.6%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %32.4%

42.8%Free Throw Rate42.0%

1.1Average Margin-2.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Tarleton State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY56.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTarleton State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.6–42.4), offensive efficiency (103.2–101.1), defensive efficiency (101.6–104.1), net efficiency (1.6–-3.0).

Abilene Christian COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.4–-2.3), recent form (-5.3–-6.7), offensive rebounding (32.4–31.8).

Final

Tarleton State

56—67

Abilene Christian

Abilene Christian by 11 • 71.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Tarleton StateTEAM STATAbilene Christian

12-44FG23-44

27.0%FG%52.0%

3-193PT2-12

16.0%3PT%17.0%

29-32FT19-22

91.0%FT%86.0%

20Rebounds35

6Offensive Rebounds9

4Assists12

19Turnovers25

16Steals8

2Blocks5

18Fouls22

Player Box Score

Tarleton State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dantwan Grimes	Guard	38	2-7	2-4	8-8	2	0	1	0	14
Bubu Benjamin	G	39	3-13	0-8	4-5	4	1	3	0	10
Jordan Mizell	G	36	2-6	0-1	6-6	2	2	3	1	10
Keitenn Bristow	F	19	3-7	1-3	2-2	3	0	2	0	9
Freddy Hicks	G	14	2-3	0-0	4-4	1	1	1	0	8
Karim Elgizawy	Guard	19	0-5	0-3	3-3	2	0	0	1	3
Marty Silvera	Guard	19	0-2	0-0	1-2	3	0	2	0	1
Chris Mpaka	F	10	0-0	0-0	1-2	1	0	1	0	1
Izzy Miles	G	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	2	0	0
Joseph Martinez	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Abilene Christian

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Leonardo Bettiol	F	31	6-8	0-0	3-4	3	3	1	0	15
Bradyn Hubbard	F	29	4-6	0-1	4-4	5	1	1	2	12
Quion Williams	G	34	4-7	0-1	3-3	8	3	3	1	11
Hunter Jack Madden	Guard	22	2-7	1-5	4-4	1	1	1	1	9
Rich Smith	G	21	3-4	0-0	2-3	5	3	0	1	8
Dontrez Williams	G	13	1-3	0-1	2-2	3	0	0	0	4
Yaniel Rivera	G	19	1-3	1-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Nasir DeGruy	Guard	18	1-5	0-1	0-0	3	1	1	0	2
Ma'Shy Hill	F	1	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Christian Alston	G	2	0-0	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
Cade Hornecker	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Jack Sawyer	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.4Possessions71.4

78.4Offensive Efficiency93.8

93.8Defensive Efficiency78.4

-15.4Net Efficiency15.4

30.7%Effective FG%54.5%

47.3%True Shooting %61.5%

26.3%Turnover Rate35.5%

72.7%Free Throw Rate50.0%

43.2%3-Point Rate27.3%

0.21Assist / Turnover0.48

Game Summary

Abilene Christian won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 71.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.