Little Rock

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

81.9%Little Rock

18.1%Western Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLittle Rock -8.2

PROJECTED TOTAL143.6

MODEL MONEYLINELittle Rock -452

Western Illinois

5-26

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLittle Rock 76

Projected Total143.6

Projected ScoreWestern Illinois 68

Team Comparison

Little RockMetricWestern Illinois

44MMH Power Index25.9

103.0Offensive Efficiency96.2

108.2Defensive Efficiency113.9

-5.2Net Efficiency-17.7

0.5Strength of Schedule-2.4

-0.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-26.3

68.5Tempo67.5

50.3%Effective FG%45.4%

18.7%Turnover Rate17.5%

32.1%Offensive Rebound %28.1%

28.6%Free Throw Rate37.5%

-3.6Average Margin-11.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Little Rock HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY81.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLittle Rock holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.0–25.9), offensive efficiency (103.0–96.2), defensive efficiency (108.2–113.9), net efficiency (-5.2–-17.7).

Western Illinois COUNTERS WITHball security (17.5–18.7), free throw rate (37.5–28.6).

Final

Little Rock

62—51

Western Illinois

Little Rock by 11 • 62.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Little RockTEAM STATWestern Illinois

24-60FG19-50

40.0%FG%38.0%

5-143PT4-18

36.0%3PT%22.0%

9-12FT9-21

75.0%FT%43.0%

37Rebounds37

10Offensive Rebounds9

13Assists7

7Turnovers12

5Steals3

3Blocks2

17Fouls14

Player Box Score

Little Rock

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Johnathan Lawson	G	40	9-19	4-7	3-3	2	3	1	1	25
Ante Beljan	F	36	6-9	0-0	0-2	6	2	1	0	12
Isaiah Lewis	G	30	4-13	0-1	0-0	2	5	1	0	8
Tuongthach Gatkek	F	34	2-5	0-0	2-2	10	1	0	0	6
Jordan Jefferson	Guard	22	1-5	0-1	4-5	3	1	0	1	6
Mwani Wilkinson	Guard	36	2-9	1-5	0-0	12	0	2	1	5
Creed Williamson	Forward	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Western Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Sean Smith	G	38	6-12	0-2	4-5	7	4	2	0	16
Marko Maletic	Guard	35	5-8	4-6	1-2	0	0	1	0	15
Massal Diouf	Forward	28	3-6	0-0	0-2	7	0	0	0	6
Julius Rollins	G	14	1-3	0-2	3-8	3	0	0	0	5
Kayden Carter	Forward	19	2-5	0-0	0-2	6	0	0	0	4
Trey Deveaux	F	22	1-2	0-0	1-2	4	0	0	0	3
Ryan Myers	G	31	1-14	0-8	0-0	4	3	0	0	2
Tay Knox	C	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	2	0
Rodrick Payne	Forward	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.9Possessions62.9

98.6Offensive Efficiency81.1

81.1Defensive Efficiency98.6

17.5Net Efficiency-17.5

44.2%Effective FG%42.0%

47.2%True Shooting %42.5%

11.2%Turnover Rate19.1%

20.0%Free Throw Rate42.0%

23.3%3-Point Rate36.0%

1.86Assist / Turnover0.58

Game Summary

Little Rock won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 62.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.