Northern Colorado

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

38.9%Northern Colorado

61.1%Idaho

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIdaho -3.7

PROJECTED TOTAL157.9

MODEL MONEYLINEIdaho -157

Idaho

21-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Colorado 77

Projected Total157.9

Projected ScoreIdaho 81

Team Comparison

Northern ColoradoMetricIdaho

53.7MMH Power Index53.2

116.0Offensive Efficiency111.6

107.6Defensive Efficiency104.3

8.4Net Efficiency7.3

-4.3Strength of Schedule-2.4

10.8Last 10 Net Efficiency4.5

71.1Tempo69.7

56.9%Effective FG%52.8%

15.3%Turnover Rate15.1%

27.9%Offensive Rebound %29.5%

27.8%Free Throw Rate34.6%

6.0Average Margin5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Colorado HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY61.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Colorado holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.7–53.2), offensive efficiency (116.0–111.6), net efficiency (8.4–7.3), recent form (10.8–4.5).

Idaho COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.3–107.6), strength of schedule (-2.4–-4.3), ball security (15.1–15.3).

Final

Northern Colorado

76—77

Idaho

Idaho by 1 • 64.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern ColoradoTEAM STATIdaho

28-53FG22-48

53.0%FG%46.0%

4-173PT7-19

24.0%3PT%37.0%

16-21FT26-30

76.0%FT%87.0%

33Rebounds22

10Offensive Rebounds6

14Assists5

12Turnovers8

7Steals7

2Blocks1

22Fouls17

Player Box Score

Northern Colorado

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Langston Reynolds	G	35	5-8	1-1	11-11	6	3	1	1	22
Jaron Rillie	Guard	36	8-10	1-2	2-2	5	3	1	0	19
Brock Wisne	F	25	6-10	0-1	2-2	7	3	0	0	14
Quinn Denker	G	33	5-9	2-5	0-0	1	2	1	0	12
Marcell McCreary	G	15	1-4	0-2	1-2	5	0	2	0	3
Zach Bloch	G	32	1-8	0-5	0-0	1	2	2	0	2
Egan Shields	C	14	1-2	0-0	0-4	4	0	0	1	2
Taeshaud Jackson	F	10	1-2	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	2

Idaho

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kolton Mitchell	G	34	6-12	5-9	8-9	2	1	3	0	25
Tyler Linhardt	F	20	5-8	0-0	7-9	3	0	2	0	17
Julius Mims	F	19	3-4	0-0	4-4	5	0	1	0	10
Isaiah Brickner	G	12	2-4	1-2	2-2	2	1	0	0	7
Tyler Mrus	F	29	2-4	1-3	1-2	1	0	1	1	6
Kyson Rose	Forward	19	3-7	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	0	6
Jojo Anderson	G	28	0-3	0-3	4-4	2	0	0	0	4
Kristian Gonzalez	G	18	1-3	0-0	0-0	0	2	0	0	2
Jack Payne	G	19	0-3	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Takai Hardy	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.7Possessions64.7

117.5Offensive Efficiency119.0

119.0Defensive Efficiency117.5

-1.5Net Efficiency1.5

56.6%Effective FG%53.1%

60.3%True Shooting %61.8%

18.5%Turnover Rate12.5%

39.6%Free Throw Rate62.5%

32.1%3-Point Rate39.6%

1.17Assist / Turnover0.63

Game Summary

Idaho won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 64.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.