App State

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

28.9%App State

71.1%Arkansas State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas State -6.4

PROJECTED TOTAL150.7

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas State -246

Arkansas State

20-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreApp State 72

Projected Total150.7

Projected ScoreArkansas State 79

Team Comparison

App StateMetricArkansas State

54.2MMH Power Index57.7

110.9Offensive Efficiency113.1

101.7Defensive Efficiency105.3

9.2Net Efficiency7.8

-4.2Strength of Schedule-1.0

7.0Last 10 Net Efficiency15.2

64.9Tempo73.3

51.1%Effective FG%52.7%

15.2%Turnover Rate19.4%

34.2%Offensive Rebound %38.1%

39.8%Free Throw Rate39.6%

6.0Average Margin5.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY71.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.7–54.2), offensive efficiency (113.1–110.9), strength of schedule (-1.0–-4.2), recent form (15.2–7.0).

App State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (101.7–105.3), net efficiency (9.2–7.8), ball security (15.2–19.4).

Final

App State

55—65

Arkansas State

Arkansas State by 10 • 65.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

App StateTEAM STATArkansas State

22-59FG24-66

37.0%FG%36.0%

2-273PT6-26

7.0%3PT%23.0%

9-14FT11-14

64.0%FT%79.0%

39Rebounds43

10Offensive Rebounds13

11Assists11

9Turnovers6

4Steals9

5Blocks4

12Fouls15

Player Box Score

App State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
CJ Huntley	Forward	39	9-17	2-6	2-2	6	2	0	1	22
Jalil Beaubrun	Forward	27	7-9	0-1	5-7	5	0	0	1	19
Myles Tate	Guard	39	6-18	0-8	1-3	8	6	2	0	13
Michael Marcus Jr.	F	4	0-0	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	1
Dior Conners	G	34	0-7	0-7	0-0	4	0	0	0	0
Jackson Threadgill	Guard	26	0-4	0-3	0-0	3	2	2	1	0
Alonzo Dodd	G	19	0-4	0-2	0-0	4	1	0	1	0
Luke Wilson	C	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	1	0
Jamil Muttilib	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Arkansas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kobe Julien	Forward	31	6-13	1-4	5-8	5	1	1	0	18
Joseph Pinion	G	37	5-10	4-9	0-0	4	1	0	2	14
Taryn Todd	Guard	36	4-16	0-5	4-4	6	2	1	1	12
Izaiyah Nelson	F	24	5-7	0-2	0-0	7	0	2	1	10
Terrance Ford Jr.	G	38	2-11	1-3	2-2	5	7	5	0	7
Rashaud Marshall	F	20	2-5	0-0	0-0	11	0	0	0	4
Dyondre Dominguez	Forward	6	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Derrian Ford	G	6	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Avery Felts	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.2Possessions65.2

84.4Offensive Efficiency99.7

99.7Defensive Efficiency84.4

-15.3Net Efficiency15.3

39.0%Effective FG%40.9%

41.9%True Shooting %44.7%

13.9%Turnover Rate9.1%

23.7%Free Throw Rate21.2%

45.8%3-Point Rate39.4%

1.22Assist / Turnover1.83

Game Summary

Arkansas State won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 65.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.