Jacksonville State

15-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

56.2%Jacksonville State

43.8%UTEP

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADJacksonville State -1.5

PROJECTED TOTAL141.3

MODEL MONEYLINEJacksonville State -128

UTEP

11-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreJacksonville State 71

Projected Total141.3

Projected ScoreUTEP 70

Team Comparison

Jacksonville StateMetricUTEP

51.2MMH Power Index44.4

108.2Offensive Efficiency102.6

101.8Defensive Efficiency107.1

6.4Net Efficiency-4.5

-2.3Strength of Schedule1.7

-0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.7

67.2Tempo67.6

51.0%Effective FG%49.2%

17.0%Turnover Rate17.3%

31.3%Offensive Rebound %27.6%

44.5%Free Throw Rate35.6%

4.3Average Margin-3.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Jacksonville State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY56.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMJacksonville State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.2–44.4), offensive efficiency (108.2–102.6), defensive efficiency (101.8–107.1), net efficiency (6.4–-4.5).

UTEP COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.7–-2.3).

Final

Jacksonville State

73—66

UTEP

Jacksonville State by 7 • 69.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Jacksonville StateTEAM STATUTEP

26-54FG22-58

48.0%FG%38.0%

6-193PT8-22

32.0%3PT%36.0%

15-18FT14-20

83.0%FT%70.0%

42Rebounds25

11Offensive Rebounds6

12Assists11

17Turnovers8

4Steals8

1Blocks—

13Fouls14

Player Box Score

Jacksonville State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Michael Houge	F	22	10-13	0-0	0-0	7	0	0	0	20
Jaron Pierre Jr.	G	39	5-15	2-8	2-2	5	6	0	0	14
Quel'Ron House	G	27	4-7	1-1	5-7	4	5	1	0	14
Mason Nicholson	F	33	2-2	0-0	4-5	9	0	1	1	8
Jao Ituka	G	23	2-6	1-3	2-2	3	0	0	0	7
Koree Cotton	G	30	1-5	1-3	2-2	5	1	1	0	5
Marcellus Brigham Jr.	Forward	19	2-6	1-4	0-0	6	0	1	0	5
Iaroslav Niagu	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UTEP

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Otis Frazier III	Forward	27	7-12	1-4	2-3	6	2	3	17
Ahamad Bynum	Guard	23	4-12	3-4	5-5	0	1	0	16
Corey Camper Jr.	G	19	3-6	1-3	0-0	1	1	2	7
David Terrell Jr.	G	34	0-3	0-0	5-8	3	3	1	5
Derick Hamilton	Forward	9	2-4	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	5
Elijah Jones	F	6	2-4	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	4
Devon Barnes	G	26	1-8	1-6	0-0	1	0	2	3
Kevin Kalu	Forward	25	1-4	0-0	1-2	8	0	0	3
Baylor Hebb	Guard	17	1-3	1-2	0-0	2	1	0	3
Trey Horton III	G	10	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	1	0	3
KJ Thomas	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.1Possessions69.1

105.6Offensive Efficiency95.5

95.5Defensive Efficiency105.6

10.1Net Efficiency-10.1

53.7%Effective FG%44.8%

58.4%True Shooting %48.9%

24.8%Turnover Rate11.5%

33.3%Free Throw Rate34.5%

35.2%3-Point Rate37.9%

0.71Assist / Turnover1.38

Game Summary

Jacksonville State won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 69.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.