UC Santa Barbara

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

32.5%UC Santa Barbara

67.5%UC San Diego

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC San Diego -5.5

PROJECTED TOTAL149.7

MODEL MONEYLINEUC San Diego -208

UC San Diego

23-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC Santa Barbara 72

Projected Total149.7

Projected ScoreUC San Diego 78

Team Comparison

UC Santa BarbaraMetricUC San Diego

51.4MMH Power Index53.4

113.2Offensive Efficiency108.4

106.1Defensive Efficiency100.7

7.1Net Efficiency7.7

-2.0Strength of Schedule-1.3

-1.7Last 10 Net Efficiency5.4

68.5Tempo69.8

54.8%Effective FG%53.1%

18.7%Turnover Rate16.4%

32.5%Offensive Rebound %26.9%

37.9%Free Throw Rate33.2%

4.8Average Margin5.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC San Diego HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY67.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC San Diego holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.4–51.4), defensive efficiency (100.7–106.1), net efficiency (7.7–7.1), strength of schedule (-1.3–-2.0).

UC Santa Barbara COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (113.2–108.4), shooting efficiency (54.8–53.1), offensive rebounding (32.5–26.9).

Final

UC Santa Barbara

63—77

UC San Diego

UC San Diego by 14 • 68.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC Santa BarbaraTEAM STATUC San Diego

20-55FG26-55

36.0%FG%47.0%

5-233PT9-25

22.0%3PT%36.0%

18-19FT16-23

95.0%FT%70.0%

38Rebounds32

10Offensive Rebounds7

11Assists16

15Turnovers8

5Steals10

2Blocks—

17Fouls15

Player Box Score

UC Santa Barbara

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Deuce Turner	G	26	7-14	2-7	0-0	4	3	0	0	16
Stephan Swenson	Guard	29	3-10	2-6	2-2	6	2	2	0	10
Kenny Pohto	Forward	26	3-8	0-0	3-4	8	1	0	0	9
Ben Shtolzberg	G	12	3-6	0-1	2-2	3	1	2	0	8
Max Murrell	Forward	25	2-8	1-5	2-2	2	0	0	0	7
Ariel Bland	F	15	1-1	0-0	4-4	5	1	1	1	6
Chris Mitchell	Guard	4	0-2	0-1	3-3	1	0	0	0	3
Jason Fontenet II	G	27	1-4	0-1	0-0	3	2	0	1	2
Cole Anderson	Guard	26	0-2	0-2	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Koat Keat Tong	F	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	0	0
Colin Smith	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UC San Diego

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Aniwaniwa Tait-Jones	Guard	30	9-12	3-5	4-5	3	2	2	25
Hayden Gray	Guard	32	5-12	3-5	2-2	0	3	2	15
Nordin Kapic	F	26	4-11	1-5	3-4	8	1	1	12
Tyler McGhie	Guard	31	4-12	1-6	2-4	7	3	1	11
Justin Rochelin	G	17	2-2	1-1	2-2	4	0	0	7
Maximo Milovich	Forward	14	1-1	0-0	2-4	5	1	1	4
Aidan Burke	G	16	1-4	0-3	0-0	0	2	1	2
Chris Howell	G	31	0-1	0-0	1-2	1	4	2	1
Cade Pendleton	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Ryder Elisaldez	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Jasen Brooks	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.0Possessions68.0

92.6Offensive Efficiency113.2

113.2Defensive Efficiency92.6

-20.6Net Efficiency20.6

40.9%Effective FG%55.5%

49.2%True Shooting %58.4%

21.7%Turnover Rate12.0%

34.5%Free Throw Rate41.8%

41.8%3-Point Rate45.5%

0.73Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

UC San Diego won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 68.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.