Utah Valley

25-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

39.7%Utah Valley

60.3%California Baptist

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCalifornia Baptist -2.0

PROJECTED TOTAL145.1

MODEL MONEYLINECalifornia Baptist -152

California Baptist

25-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUtah Valley 72

Projected Total145.1

Projected ScoreCalifornia Baptist 74

Team Comparison

Utah ValleyMetricCalifornia Baptist

59.1MMH Power Index58.3

113.4Offensive Efficiency106.5

97.3Defensive Efficiency99.0

16.1Net Efficiency7.5

-3.3Strength of Schedule1.8

6.8Last 10 Net Efficiency11.0

70.6Tempo68.2

56.0%Effective FG%48.8%

19.9%Turnover Rate17.9%

36.2%Offensive Rebound %37.0%

37.3%Free Throw Rate37.0%

11.4Average Margin5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Utah Valley HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUtah Valley holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.1–58.3), offensive efficiency (113.4–106.5), defensive efficiency (97.3–99.0), net efficiency (16.1–7.5).

California Baptist COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.8–-3.3), recent form (11.0–6.8), ball security (17.9–19.9).

Final

Utah Valley

74—69

California Baptist

Utah Valley by 5 • 67.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Utah ValleyTEAM STATCalifornia Baptist

27-60FG27-62

45.0%FG%44.0%

6-163PT8-20

38.0%3PT%40.0%

14-21FT7-14

67.0%FT%50.0%

32Rebounds43

7Offensive Rebounds14

17Assists8

7Turnovers11

6Steals4

7Blocks3

16Fouls16

Player Box Score

Utah Valley

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dominick Nelson	G	34	8-13	4-5	5-7	7	2	0	1	25
Tanner Toolson	G	31	5-11	2-5	1-1	5	1	0	0	13
Carter Welling	F	19	4-8	0-1	3-5	3	0	1	0	11
Jackson Holcombe	G	18	4-8	0-0	3-5	3	2	1	2	11
Ethan Potter	F	21	4-6	0-0	0-1	1	0	0	0	8
Trevan Leonhardt	G	28	1-5	0-2	0-0	4	6	2	0	2
Kylin Green	G	12	0-2	0-1	2-2	3	2	1	0	2
Hayden Welling	F	10	1-5	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	2	2
Osiris Grady	F	13	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	2	1	1	0
Noah Taitz	G	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Cory Wells	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0

California Baptist

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dominique Daniels Jr.	G	36	9-23	2-7	2-4	2	3	0	0	22
AJ Braun	Forward	27	4-8	0-0	4-7	8	0	1	0	12
Kendal Coleman	Forward	27	4-9	1-3	1-3	13	1	0	1	10
Adam Moussa	Guard	34	4-7	1-3	0-0	3	3	1	0	9
Martel Williams	G	30	3-6	2-2	0-0	3	1	1	0	8
Javonte Johnson	Guard	15	2-4	2-4	0-0	2	0	0	0	6
Bradey Henige	F	11	1-2	0-0	0-0	6	0	0	0	2
Sam Silverstein	G	15	0-3	0-1	0-0	3	0	1	2	0
Brantly Stevenson	Guard	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.9Possessions67.9

109.0Offensive Efficiency101.6

101.6Defensive Efficiency109.0

7.4Net Efficiency-7.4

50.0%Effective FG%50.0%

52.9%True Shooting %50.3%

10.0%Turnover Rate16.8%

35.0%Free Throw Rate22.6%

26.7%3-Point Rate32.3%

2.43Assist / Turnover0.73

Game Summary

Utah Valley won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 67.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.