Toledo

19-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

48.7%Toledo

51.3%Bowling Green

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBowling Green -3.5

PROJECTED TOTAL158.5

MODEL MONEYLINEBowling Green -105

Bowling Green

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreToledo 78

Projected Total158.5

Projected ScoreBowling Green 81

Team Comparison

ToledoMetricBowling Green

58.8MMH Power Index54.7

116.0Offensive Efficiency112.6

109.6Defensive Efficiency99.1

6.4Net Efficiency13.5

2.3Strength of Schedule-4.7

10.2Last 10 Net Efficiency1.4

69.8Tempo72.2

55.1%Effective FG%53.4%

14.6%Turnover Rate15.9%

30.4%Offensive Rebound %29.2%

30.3%Free Throw Rate38.7%

4.5Average Margin9.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Toledo HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY51.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMToledo holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.8–54.7), offensive efficiency (116.0–112.6), strength of schedule (2.3–-4.7), recent form (10.2–1.4).

Bowling Green COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (99.1–109.6), net efficiency (13.5–6.4), free throw rate (38.7–30.3).

Final

Toledo

84—71

Bowling Green

Toledo by 13 • 70.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ToledoTEAM STATBowling Green

29-61FG24-56

48.0%FG%43.0%

12-243PT6-22

50.0%3PT%27.0%

14-17FT17-23

82.0%FT%74.0%

38Rebounds30

13Offensive Rebounds9

14Assists10

14Turnovers13

4Steals6

4Blocks5

17Fouls16

Player Box Score

Toledo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Sonny Wilson	G	36	7-9	1-1	3-3	5	5	1	0	18
Isaiah Adams	Guard	31	6-14	2-5	4-4	2	2	2	1	18
Sam Lewis	G	34	5-10	3-4	1-3	4	3	0	0	14
Bryce Ford	G	30	4-9	4-7	0-0	3	0	0	1	12
Javan Simmons	F	34	2-6	0-0	4-5	9	3	1	2	8
Seth Hubbard	G	14	3-7	1-3	1-1	1	0	0	0	8
Andre Lorentsson	Forward	12	2-5	1-4	1-1	2	0	0	0	6
Grgur Brcic	C	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Jaylan Ouwinga	F	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0

Bowling Green

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marcus Johnson	F	31	10-20	3-9	5-5	4	0	1	0	28
Trey Thomas	Guard	33	4-11	2-7	3-3	4	3	1	2	13
Jamai Felt	F	31	3-3	0-0	4-7	12	0	2	3	10
Javontae Campbell	G	32	2-9	0-0	3-5	4	3	1	0	7
Derrick Butler	Guard	31	3-7	1-3	0-0	0	1	0	0	7
DaJion Humphrey	G	24	1-3	0-1	2-3	2	1	1	0	4
Wilguens Jr. Exacte	F	18	1-3	0-2	0-0	1	2	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

70.5Possessions70.5

119.1Offensive Efficiency100.7

100.7Defensive Efficiency119.1

18.4Net Efficiency-18.4

57.4%Effective FG%48.2%

60.8%True Shooting %53.0%

20.0%Turnover Rate18.3%

27.9%Free Throw Rate41.1%

39.3%3-Point Rate39.3%

1.00Assist / Turnover0.77

Game Summary

Toledo won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 70.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.