Wagner

14-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

31.0%Wagner

69.0%Mercyhurst

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMercyhurst -6.1

PROJECTED TOTAL139.4

MODEL MONEYLINEMercyhurst -223

Mercyhurst

17-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWagner 67

Projected Total139.4

Projected ScoreMercyhurst 73

Team Comparison

WagnerMetricMercyhurst

42.9MMH Power Index45.5

105.5Offensive Efficiency105.2

106.1Defensive Efficiency102.2

-0.6Net Efficiency3.0

-5.0Strength of Schedule-5.7

0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency3.2

67.6Tempo65.9

50.2%Effective FG%50.5%

18.9%Turnover Rate14.4%

34.0%Offensive Rebound %26.8%

31.6%Free Throw Rate25.4%

-0.4Average Margin2.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Mercyhurst HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMercyhurst holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (45.5–42.9), defensive efficiency (102.2–106.1), net efficiency (3.0–-0.6), recent form (3.2–0.3).

Wagner COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (105.5–105.2), strength of schedule (-5.0–-5.7), offensive rebounding (34.0–26.8).

Final

Wagner

66—71

Mercyhurst

Mercyhurst by 5 • 59.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

WagnerTEAM STATMercyhurst

24-55FG24-48

44.0%FG%50.0%

10-243PT9-25

42.0%3PT%36.0%

8-14FT14-16

57.0%FT%88.0%

31Rebounds20

14Offensive Rebounds3

12Assists18

11Turnovers7

3Steals1

—Blocks2

16Fouls11

Player Box Score

Wagner

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Zae Blake	G	29	7-13	4-7	0-0	1	3	2	18
Zaire Williams	G	32	4-10	1-3	4-6	4	2	1	13
Javier Ezquerra	G	31	3-7	3-6	0-0	3	2	0	9
R.J. Greene	G	22	3-6	0-0	3-3	5	2	0	9
Tyje Kelton	F	27	2-8	2-7	0-0	4	1	0	6
Zavier Fitch	F	20	3-6	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	6
Keyontae Lewis	F	24	1-2	0-0	1-4	10	2	0	3
Ja'Kair Sanchez	G	15	1-3	0-0	0-1	2	0	0	2

Mercyhurst

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Aidan Reichert	Forward	37	9-12	3-3	2-2	3	1	0	2	23
Jeff Planutis	Forward	36	3-6	2-4	7-8	4	1	1	0	15
Bernie Blunt III	G	27	4-12	2-8	2-2	1	2	0	0	12
Max Jusianiec	G	30	3-6	0-3	3-4	4	0	0	0	9
Jake Lemelman	G	15	3-6	2-4	0-0	1	3	0	0	8
Shemar Rathan-Mayes	Guard	31	1-4	0-3	0-0	4	8	0	0	2
Deshaun Jackson Jr.	G	6	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	3	0	0	2
James Thomas	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Sean Lang	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Mykolas Ivanauskas	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Christian Gamble	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

59.2Possessions59.2

111.5Offensive Efficiency119.9

119.9Defensive Efficiency111.5

-8.4Net Efficiency8.4

52.7%Effective FG%59.4%

53.5%True Shooting %63.8%

18.8%Turnover Rate11.7%

25.5%Free Throw Rate33.3%

43.6%3-Point Rate52.1%

1.09Assist / Turnover2.57

Game Summary

Mercyhurst won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 59.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, True Shooting %, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.