Chicago State

7-25

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

33.0%Chicago State

67.0%Stonehill

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADStonehill -7.4

PROJECTED TOTAL137.7

MODEL MONEYLINEStonehill -203

Stonehill

12-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreChicago State 65

Projected Total137.7

Projected ScoreStonehill 73

Team Comparison

Chicago StateMetricStonehill

36.1MMH Power Index37.9

99.4Offensive Efficiency97.5

114.9Defensive Efficiency100.7

-15.5Net Efficiency-3.2

0.5Strength of Schedule-5.4

-4.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-3.4

66.2Tempo68.1

45.6%Effective FG%48.0%

15.8%Turnover Rate19.1%

29.1%Offensive Rebound %28.4%

30.7%Free Throw Rate29.2%

-10.3Average Margin-2.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Stonehill HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY67.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMStonehill holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (37.9–36.1), defensive efficiency (100.7–114.9), net efficiency (-3.2–-15.5), recent form (-3.4–-4.3).

Chicago State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (99.4–97.5), strength of schedule (0.5–-5.4), ball security (15.8–19.1).

Final

Chicago State

73—75

Stonehill

Stonehill by 2 • 66.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Chicago StateTEAM STATStonehill

27-56FG29-55

48.0%FG%53.0%

6-153PT8-23

40.0%3PT%35.0%

13-18FT9-17

72.0%FT%53.0%

29Rebounds35

6Offensive Rebounds8

7Assists18

8Turnovers11

6Steals7

2Blocks2

20Fouls15

Player Box Score

Chicago State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Gabe Spinelli	G	27	11-16	3-4	0-3	4	2	0	0	25
Jalen Forrest	G	35	8-10	1-2	6-8	3	0	0	0	23
Troy McKoy Jr.	Guard	29	3-11	0-5	5-5	5	1	0	0	11
Saxby Sunderland	Guard	20	2-6	2-4	2-2	3	1	0	0	8
Quincy Allen	G	19	2-6	0-0	0-0	8	0	1	0	4
CJ Delancy	F	13	1-5	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	1	2
Matthew Robinson	Guard	32	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	2	3	1	0
Dailliss Cox	F	23	0-2	0-0	0-0	3	1	1	0	0
Joe Spinelli	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Stonehill

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Louie Semona	F	37	7-12	2-5	5-6	4	3	2	1	21
Amir Nesbitt	Guard	27	5-12	2-7	1-2	2	2	1	0	13
Hermann Koffi	G	29	5-10	2-6	0-0	1	0	0	0	12
Josh Morgan	Guard	24	3-6	2-3	3-4	2	2	2	0	11
Pearse McGuinn	F	19	5-5	0-0	0-2	7	2	0	0	10
Chas Stinson	G	32	3-5	0-0	0-3	11	7	2	1	6
Alex Bates IV	Guard	8	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Nathan McGill	Guard	24	0-3	0-2	0-0	4	2	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.4Possessions66.4

109.9Offensive Efficiency113.0

113.0Defensive Efficiency109.9

-3.0Net Efficiency3.0

53.6%Effective FG%60.0%

56.5%True Shooting %59.5%

12.0%Turnover Rate16.6%

32.1%Free Throw Rate30.9%

26.8%3-Point Rate41.8%

0.88Assist / Turnover1.64

Game Summary

Stonehill won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 66.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.