Penn State

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

5.0%Penn State

95.0%Iowa

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIowa -20.0

PROJECTED TOTAL148.2

MODEL MONEYLINEIowa -1900

Iowa

24-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePenn State 64

Projected Total148.2

Projected ScoreIowa 84

Team Comparison

Penn StateMetricIowa

42.3MMH Power Index64.2

109.2Offensive Efficiency118.4

117.6Defensive Efficiency105.2

-8.4Net Efficiency13.2

5.3Strength of Schedule5.3

-20.8Last 10 Net Efficiency2.0

67.5Tempo63.0

53.4%Effective FG%56.6%

15.6%Turnover Rate15.1%

25.6%Offensive Rebound %30.2%

34.6%Free Throw Rate36.2%

-5.7Average Margin8.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Iowa HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY95.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIowa holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (64.2–42.3), offensive efficiency (118.4–109.2), defensive efficiency (105.2–117.6), net efficiency (13.2–-8.4).

Final

Penn State

75—76

Iowa

Iowa by 1 • 67.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Penn StateTEAM STATIowa

28-57FG28-56

49.0%FG%50.0%

5-223PT11-23

23.0%3PT%48.0%

14-20FT9-15

70.0%FT%60.0%

34Rebounds33

8Offensive Rebounds6

14Assists20

10Turnovers10

7Steals5

3Blocks5

16Fouls14

Player Box Score

Penn State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nick Kern Jr.	Guard	34	7-13	0-1	4-7	7	2	0	0	18
Yanic Konan Niederhauser	Forward	14	4-5	0-0	5-5	4	1	2	1	13
Freddie Dilione V	G	31	4-10	0-5	2-3	7	2	2	0	10
Zach Hicks	Forward	36	3-9	3-9	0-0	5	2	0	0	9
Kachi Nzeh	F	12	4-5	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	8
Ace Baldwin Jr.	Guard	40	2-8	1-4	2-2	2	7	2	0	7
D'Marco Dunn	Guard	19	3-5	1-2	0-0	2	0	1	0	7
Miles Goodman	F	11	1-1	0-0	1-3	3	0	0	1	3
Dominick Stewart	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	1	0

Iowa

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Owen Freeman	F	33	5-9	0-0	6-8	9	2	0	2	16
Drew Thelwell	Guard	33	6-10	3-5	1-2	5	4	2	0	16
Josh Dix	G	37	4-10	1-5	2-2	2	8	1	1	11
Payton Sandfort	Forward	29	4-10	2-5	0-0	7	2	0	1	10
Pryce Sandfort	F	20	3-6	3-4	0-2	0	0	0	1	9
Brock Harding	G	27	3-6	2-4	0-1	1	3	2	0	8
Seydou Traore	F	14	3-3	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	6
Riley Mulvey	C	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Ladji Dembele	F	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.8Possessions67.8

110.6Offensive Efficiency112.1

112.1Defensive Efficiency110.6

-1.5Net Efficiency1.5

53.5%Effective FG%59.8%

56.4%True Shooting %60.2%

14.6%Turnover Rate14.9%

35.1%Free Throw Rate26.8%

38.6%3-Point Rate41.1%

1.40Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Iowa won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 67.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.