SMU

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

44.0%SMU

56.0%NC State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNC State -3.0

PROJECTED TOTAL165.3

MODEL MONEYLINENC State -127

NC State

20-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSMU 81

Projected Total165.3

Projected ScoreNC State 84

Team Comparison

SMUMetricNC State

62.5MMH Power Index60.1

118.2Offensive Efficiency118.4

109.6Defensive Efficiency108.6

8.6Net Efficiency9.8

7.0Strength of Schedule6.4

-1.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-11.9

71.1Tempo70.2

55.7%Effective FG%55.1%

15.7%Turnover Rate13.1%

35.0%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

31.3%Free Throw Rate35.7%

6.1Average Margin6.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

NC State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY56.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNC State holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (118.4–118.2), defensive efficiency (108.6–109.6), net efficiency (9.8–8.6), ball security (13.1–15.7).

SMU COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (62.5–60.1), strength of schedule (7.0–6.4), recent form (-1.3–-11.9).

Final

SMU

63—57

NC State

SMU by 6 • 65.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

SMUTEAM STATNC State

23-53FG19-65

43.0%FG%29.0%

6-163PT4-24

38.0%3PT%17.0%

11-12FT15-18

92.0%FT%83.0%

43Rebounds35

9Offensive Rebounds14

12Assists9

15Turnovers6

1Steals9

5Blocks7

14Fouls14

Player Box Score

SMU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Samet Yigitoglu	C	29	8-13	0-0	4-4	7	1	0	1	20
Kario Oquendo	Guard	25	4-8	1-3	4-4	7	1	0	0	13
Matt Cross	Forward	33	4-10	1-4	2-3	10	1	0	1	11
B.J. Edwards	G	29	3-6	2-4	0-0	6	1	1	0	8
Chuck Harris	Guard	18	2-6	2-3	0-0	1	1	0	1	6
Boopie Miller	G	33	2-8	0-2	1-1	3	5	0	1	5
Tibet Gorener	Forward	13	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Yohan Traore	F	10	0-2	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	1	0
Keon Ambrose-Hylton	Forward	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Jerrell Colbert	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

NC State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marcus Hill	G	30	7-15	0-0	0-0	2	1	2	0	14
Dontrez Styles	Guard	25	4-11	1-5	3-3	3	0	0	1	12
Jayden Taylor	Guard	33	3-13	1-7	4-4	6	2	3	0	11
Paul McNeil Jr.	G	15	1-5	1-5	5-7	3	3	1	0	8
Michael O'Connell	Guard	26	2-7	1-3	0-0	3	2	0	1	5
Ben Middlebrooks	Forward	19	1-4	0-1	2-2	4	0	0	3	4
Brandon Huntley-Hatfield	Forward	19	1-3	0-0	0-0	5	1	1	0	2
Bryce Heard	G	5	0-0	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
Dennis Parker Jr.	G	16	0-3	0-1	0-0	3	0	1	1	0
Breon Pass	Guard	7	0-3	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Trey Parker	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Ismael Diouf	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.2Possessions65.2

96.6Offensive Efficiency87.4

87.4Defensive Efficiency96.6

9.2Net Efficiency-9.2

49.1%Effective FG%32.3%

53.7%True Shooting %38.7%

23.2%Turnover Rate9.2%

22.6%Free Throw Rate27.7%

30.2%3-Point Rate36.9%

0.80Assist / Turnover1.50

Game Summary

SMU won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 65.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.