Northern Iowa

23-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

79.3%Northern Iowa

20.7%Indiana State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthern Iowa -7.3

PROJECTED TOTAL139.1

MODEL MONEYLINENorthern Iowa -383

Indiana State

11-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Iowa 73

Projected Total139.1

Projected ScoreIndiana State 66

Team Comparison

Northern IowaMetricIndiana State

61MMH Power Index44.4

108.4Offensive Efficiency104.7

96.4Defensive Efficiency106.0

12.0Net Efficiency-1.3

2.2Strength of Schedule0.1

13.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.2

64.1Tempo70.3

54.6%Effective FG%53.6%

14.4%Turnover Rate19.5%

21.9%Offensive Rebound %27.3%

26.2%Free Throw Rate28.8%

7.7Average Margin-0.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Iowa HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY79.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Iowa holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.0–44.4), offensive efficiency (108.4–104.7), defensive efficiency (96.4–106.0), net efficiency (12.0–-1.3).

Indiana State COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (27.3–21.9), free throw rate (28.8–26.2).

Final

Northern Iowa

74—56

Indiana State

Northern Iowa by 18 • 67.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern IowaTEAM STATIndiana State

26-54FG19-55

48.0%FG%35.0%

7-173PT8-28

41.0%3PT%29.0%

15-21FT10-16

71.0%FT%63.0%

40Rebounds31

8Offensive Rebounds9

15Assists10

12Turnovers14

7Steals5

3Blocks—

15Fouls18

Player Box Score

Northern Iowa

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jacob Hutson	Center	32	6-13	1-3	6-7	12	1	0	1	19
Ben Schwieger	F	34	5-8	2-4	3-5	5	3	1	0	15
Trey Campbell	G	29	5-10	2-3	2-4	5	5	3	2	14
Tytan Anderson	Guard	26	4-7	2-2	4-4	6	2	0	0	14
Leon Bond III	F	11	3-5	0-0	0-1	4	0	0	0	6
Max Weisbrod	G	33	2-6	0-3	0-0	2	2	2	0	4
Will Hornseth	F	9	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Cael Schmitt	Guard	15	0-4	0-2	0-0	1	1	1	0	0
Kyle Pock	F	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Indiana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Markus Harding	C	22	6-13	4-7	0-0	8	1	1	16
Aaron Gray	Forward	31	3-7	1-3	4-7	4	2	0	11
Jaden Daughtry	F	16	4-7	0-0	2-4	2	0	1	10
Samage Teel	Guard	35	3-8	1-5	2-2	3	3	1	9
Camp Wagner	G	28	1-9	1-6	2-3	5	0	2	5
Josiah LeGree	G	26	1-5	1-3	0-0	1	2	0	3
Jayan Walker	G	8	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	2
Bruno Alocen	G	22	0-3	0-2	0-0	3	2	0	0
K'mani Doughty	Guard	12	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.8Possessions67.8

109.1Offensive Efficiency82.6

82.6Defensive Efficiency109.1

26.5Net Efficiency-26.5

54.6%Effective FG%41.8%

57.8%True Shooting %44.7%

17.7%Turnover Rate20.7%

38.9%Free Throw Rate29.1%

31.5%3-Point Rate50.9%

1.25Assist / Turnover0.71

Game Summary

Northern Iowa won by 18 points. The game played at approximately 67.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.