UMBC

24-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

54.0%UMBC

46.0%Vermont

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUMBC -0.3

PROJECTED TOTAL140.0

MODEL MONEYLINEUMBC -117

Vermont

22-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUMBC 70

Projected Total140.0

Projected ScoreVermont 70

Team Comparison

UMBCMetricVermont

59.1MMH Power Index53.1

113.0Offensive Efficiency112.2

99.0Defensive Efficiency104.7

14.0Net Efficiency7.5

-5.6Strength of Schedule-4.4

24.7Last 10 Net Efficiency12.4

65.5Tempo65.4

54.3%Effective FG%54.1%

14.3%Turnover Rate14.4%

25.2%Offensive Rebound %26.8%

34.1%Free Throw Rate32.4%

9.1Average Margin4.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UMBC HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY54.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUMBC holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.1–53.1), offensive efficiency (113.0–112.2), defensive efficiency (99.0–104.7), net efficiency (14.0–7.5).

Vermont COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-4.4–-5.6), offensive rebounding (26.8–25.2).

Final

UMBC

80—63

Vermont

UMBC by 17 • 64.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UMBCTEAM STATVermont

30-52FG23-62

58.0%FG%37.0%

8-223PT7-25

36.0%3PT%28.0%

12-14FT10-14

86.0%FT%71.0%

26Rebounds39

3Offensive Rebounds18

14Assists13

9Turnovers14

11Steals4

4Blocks3

11Fouls9

Player Box Score

UMBC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bryce Johnson	Guard	32	8-13	3-6	7-8	0	3	1	1	26
Josh Odunowo	F	35	9-11	0-0	1-2	10	3	4	2	19
Marcus Banks Jr.	G	32	5-12	2-8	2-2	3	4	2	0	14
Louie Jordan	F	22	2-6	2-5	2-2	4	0	0	1	8
Regimantas Ciunys	F	22	3-4	1-1	0-0	6	2	1	0	7
Marlon Short	Guard	25	2-2	0-0	0-0	0	1	3	0	4
Daylon Dickerson	F	1	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Ace Valentine	G	18	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
JC Harris	Guard	10	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Devan Sapp	Guard	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Vermont

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ileri Ayo-Faleye	Forward	32	4-15	1-7	5-6	5	3	0	2	14
Sam Alamutu	G	28	6-14	0-1	0-0	7	2	0	0	12
Nick Fiorillo	Forward	28	4-12	2-8	1-2	7	1	0	0	11
Shamir Bogues	Guard	28	5-9	0-0	1-2	5	3	3	0	11
Jace Roquemore	Guard	23	3-6	3-6	0-0	1	2	0	1	9
Sean Blake	G	26	1-5	1-2	3-4	5	2	1	0	6
Seth Joba	F	20	0-1	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Noah Barnett	F	15	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.7Possessions64.7

123.6Offensive Efficiency97.4

97.4Defensive Efficiency123.6

26.3Net Efficiency-26.3

65.4%Effective FG%42.7%

68.2%True Shooting %45.9%

13.9%Turnover Rate21.7%

26.9%Free Throw Rate22.6%

42.3%3-Point Rate40.3%

1.56Assist / Turnover0.93

Game Summary

UMBC won by 17 points. The game played at approximately 64.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.