Illinois State

23-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

37.3%Illinois State

62.7%Bradley

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBradley -3.3

PROJECTED TOTAL148.2

MODEL MONEYLINEBradley -168

Bradley

21-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIllinois State 72

Projected Total148.2

Projected ScoreBradley 76

Team Comparison

Illinois StateMetricBradley

54.3MMH Power Index54.4

110.6Offensive Efficiency110.5

101.4Defensive Efficiency105.3

9.2Net Efficiency5.2

1.0Strength of Schedule1.6

-4.4Last 10 Net Efficiency0.9

67.5Tempo69.9

54.3%Effective FG%51.2%

16.8%Turnover Rate13.9%

28.3%Offensive Rebound %27.7%

32.0%Free Throw Rate37.2%

6.2Average Margin3.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois State holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (110.6–110.5), defensive efficiency (101.4–105.3), net efficiency (9.2–5.2), shooting efficiency (54.3–51.2).

Bradley COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (54.4–54.3), strength of schedule (1.6–1.0), recent form (0.9–-4.4).

Final

Illinois State

57—61

Bradley

Bradley by 4 • 62.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Illinois StateTEAM STATBradley

18-58FG21-50

31.0%FG%42.0%

10-343PT4-18

29.0%3PT%22.0%

11-17FT15-17

65.0%FT%88.0%

34Rebounds39

11Offensive Rebounds7

10Assists7

8Turnovers10

6Steals5

1Blocks4

15Fouls10

Player Box Score

Illinois State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Johnny Kinziger	G	35	4-11	2-5	6-6	3	5	0	0	16
Ty Pence	G	16	4-4	2-2	2-3	4	0	0	1	12
Malachi Poindexter	Guard	28	3-6	2-5	0-0	4	0	0	0	8
Landon Wolf	G	25	2-8	2-7	0-0	3	0	2	0	6
Chase Walker	F	27	2-8	0-1	1-6	7	1	0	0	5
Caden Boser	Forward	12	1-7	1-5	2-2	3	0	0	0	5
Jack Daugherty	F	4	1-3	1-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Dalton Banks	Guard	33	1-6	0-3	0-0	5	4	4	0	2
Jordan Davis	Guard	20	0-5	0-3	0-0	4	0	0	0	0

Bradley

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Duke Deen	Guard	34	3-9	1-6	4-4	6	2	0	0	11
Zek Montgomery	Guard	33	5-14	1-5	0-0	6	1	1	0	11
Christian Davis	Guard	31	3-6	0-1	4-4	7	1	1	1	10
Darius Hannah	Forward	35	4-7	0-1	0-2	5	0	1	2	8
Jaquan Johnson	G	18	2-5	0-1	3-3	1	1	1	0	7
Almar Atlason	F	8	1-2	1-2	2-2	0	1	0	0	5
Ahmet Jonovic	C	23	1-2	0-0	2-2	9	1	0	1	4
Connor Dillon	Guard	7	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	0	1	0	3
Corey Thomas	F	11	1-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

62.1Possessions62.1

91.8Offensive Efficiency98.2

98.2Defensive Efficiency91.8

-6.4Net Efficiency6.4

39.7%Effective FG%46.0%

43.1%True Shooting %52.5%

12.7%Turnover Rate16.4%

29.3%Free Throw Rate34.0%

58.6%3-Point Rate36.0%

1.25Assist / Turnover0.70

Game Summary

Bradley won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 62.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, True Shooting %, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.