Stetson

12-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

25.8%Stetson

74.2%Bellarmine

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBellarmine -7.6

PROJECTED TOTAL161.4

MODEL MONEYLINEBellarmine -288

Bellarmine

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreStetson 77

Projected Total161.4

Projected ScoreBellarmine 85

Team Comparison

StetsonMetricBellarmine

40MMH Power Index44.9

107.2Offensive Efficiency119.6

115.9Defensive Efficiency122.1

-8.7Net Efficiency-2.5

-1.0Strength of Schedule-2.8

-2.9Last 10 Net Efficiency0.3

68.7Tempo66.9

53.8%Effective FG%60.0%

18.3%Turnover Rate15.3%

28.1%Offensive Rebound %22.7%

33.6%Free Throw Rate35.3%

-6.0Average Margin-1.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Bellarmine HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY74.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBellarmine holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.9–40.0), offensive efficiency (119.6–107.2), net efficiency (-2.5–-8.7), recent form (0.3–-2.9).

Stetson COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (115.9–122.1), strength of schedule (-1.0–-2.8), offensive rebounding (28.1–22.7).

Final

Stetson

81—76

Bellarmine

Stetson by 5 • 68.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

StetsonTEAM STATBellarmine

24-51FG27-61

47.0%FG%44.0%

9-233PT14-33

39.0%3PT%42.0%

24-30FT8-10

80.0%FT%80.0%

42Rebounds26

10Offensive Rebounds4

13Assists18

12Turnovers7

1Steals4

2Blocks3

11Fouls25

Player Box Score

Stetson

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Treyton Thompson	Forward	25	7-8	3-4	6-9	7	2	0	0	23
Mehki Ellison	G	34	4-15	1-5	8-9	5	5	0	0	17
Jordan Wood	Forward	27	4-9	2-6	4-4	6	2	0	1	14
Jamie Phillips Jr.	G	33	4-8	0-1	4-6	8	3	0	0	12
Abramo Canka	Guard	34	2-5	2-4	2-2	8	0	0	1	8
Josh Massey	Forward	9	2-2	1-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	5
Finley Sheridan	F	17	1-3	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Blaize Sagna	G	21	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Bellarmine

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jack Karasinski	F	25	9-17	3-6	0-0	2	0	0	0	21
Billy Smith	G	34	5-14	4-10	0-0	3	4	2	0	14
Kenyon Goodin	G	31	5-8	4-6	0-0	5	2	0	0	14
AJ Lux	Guard	18	2-4	2-4	3-3	6	1	0	0	9
Myles Watkins	G	15	3-6	1-3	0-0	1	2	0	0	7
Tyler Doyle	G	27	1-2	0-1	3-3	2	2	2	1	5
Grant Whitaker	G	23	2-5	0-0	0-0	2	5	0	1	4
Curt Hopf	Forward	12	0-3	0-2	1-2	1	0	0	1	1
Dezmond McKinney	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
Landin Hacker	Guard	12	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	2	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.1Possessions68.1

118.9Offensive Efficiency111.6

111.6Defensive Efficiency118.9

7.3Net Efficiency-7.3

55.9%Effective FG%55.7%

62.1%True Shooting %57.8%

17.8%Turnover Rate10.2%

58.8%Free Throw Rate16.4%

45.1%3-Point Rate54.1%

1.08Assist / Turnover2.57

Game Summary

Stetson won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 68.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.