TCU

23-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

44.5%TCU

55.5%UCF

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUCF -1.8

PROJECTED TOTAL157.2

MODEL MONEYLINEUCF -125

UCF

21-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTCU 78

Projected Total157.2

Projected ScoreUCF 80

Team Comparison

TCUMetricUCF

59.7MMH Power Index57.1

110.2Offensive Efficiency113.3

102.7Defensive Efficiency110.0

7.5Net Efficiency3.3

4.6Strength of Schedule6.6

2.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-3.8

70.2Tempo71.2

50.5%Effective FG%53.0%

15.3%Turnover Rate16.0%

33.6%Offensive Rebound %34.3%

38.3%Free Throw Rate31.1%

5.3Average Margin2.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

TCU HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTCU holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.7–57.1), defensive efficiency (102.7–110.0), net efficiency (7.5–3.3), recent form (2.2–-3.8).

UCF COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (113.3–110.2), strength of schedule (6.6–4.6), shooting efficiency (53.0–50.5).

Final

TCU

58—85

UCF

UCF by 27 • 68.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

TCUTEAM STATUCF

23-64FG27-60

36.0%FG%45.0%

1-203PT13-31

5.0%3PT%42.0%

11-15FT18-22

73.0%FT%82.0%

39Rebounds38

13Offensive Rebounds10

7Assists20

11Turnovers7

6Steals7

1Blocks6

18Fouls14

Player Box Score

TCU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Vasean Allette	PG	31	5-15	0-2	5-7	5	4	0	0	15
David Punch	F	17	3-5	0-0	3-3	6	0	1	0	9
Noah Reynolds	Guard	31	4-10	0-2	0-0	4	2	1	0	8
Trazarien White	Forward	22	4-14	0-6	0-1	1	0	3	0	8
Isaiah Manning	F	14	3-5	1-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	7
Ernest Udeh Jr.	C	23	2-3	0-0	2-2	4	0	1	1	6
Brendan Wenzel	Guard	20	1-6	0-4	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Micah Robinson	F	13	1-4	0-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Jace Posey	G	12	0-1	0-0	1-2	4	0	0	0	1
Malick Diallo	C	17	0-1	0-0	0-0	6	1	0	0	0

UCF

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Keyshawn Hall	F	34	6-13	3-5	11-13	8	2	2	0	26
Moustapha Thiam	C	31	7-10	2-3	0-0	5	2	0	5	16
Darius Johnson	Guard	32	4-10	3-7	4-4	1	5	0	1	15
Jordan Ivy-Curry	Guard	31	5-12	3-8	1-1	6	4	3	0	14
Dallan Coleman	Guard	30	2-6	1-5	1-2	8	1	2	0	6
JJ Taylor	F	11	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	3	0	0	3
Benny Williams	Forward	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Tyler Hendricks	G	2	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Nils Machowski	G	2	0-0	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	1
Mikey Williams	G	11	0-3	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Dior Johnson	G	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	2	0	0	0
Rokas Jocius	F	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Poohpha Warakulnukroh	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.3Possessions68.3

84.9Offensive Efficiency124.5

124.5Defensive Efficiency84.9

-39.5Net Efficiency39.5

36.7%Effective FG%55.8%

40.8%True Shooting %60.3%

15.9%Turnover Rate10.4%

23.4%Free Throw Rate36.7%

31.3%3-Point Rate51.7%

0.64Assist / Turnover2.86

Game Summary

UCF won by 27 points. The game played at approximately 68.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.