Drake

14-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

26.3%Drake

73.7%Missouri State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMissouri State -6.9

PROJECTED TOTAL151.1

MODEL MONEYLINEMissouri State -280

Missouri State

16-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreDrake 72

Projected Total151.1

Projected ScoreMissouri State 79

Team Comparison

DrakeMetricMissouri State

46.4MMH Power Index51.1

109.5Offensive Efficiency110.5

109.1Defensive Efficiency108.4

0.4Net Efficiency2.1

0.3Strength of Schedule0.5

-11.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.1

68.6Tempo67.9

52.2%Effective FG%51.8%

14.9%Turnover Rate16.4%

27.2%Offensive Rebound %33.0%

34.4%Free Throw Rate42.9%

0.2Average Margin1.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Missouri State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY73.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMissouri State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.1–46.4), offensive efficiency (110.5–109.5), defensive efficiency (108.4–109.1), net efficiency (2.1–0.4).

Drake COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (52.2–51.8), ball security (14.9–16.4).

Final

Drake

69—62

Missouri State

Drake by 7 • 60.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

DrakeTEAM STATMissouri State

22-51FG24-48

43.0%FG%50.0%

6-163PT8-20

38.0%3PT%40.0%

19-24FT6-12

79.0%FT%50.0%

28Rebounds29

11Offensive Rebounds10

11Assists10

9Turnovers17

11Steals3

5Blocks5

15Fouls21

Player Box Score

Drake

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bennett Stirtz	G	45	5-12	2-3	6-8	2	4	4	0	18
Mitch Mascari	Guard	45	5-12	3-8	0-0	5	2	2	0	13
Tavion Banks	G	19	1-4	0-2	7-8	4	2	0	1	9
Nate Ferguson	Forward	10	4-5	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	8
Daniel Abreu	Forward	35	2-6	1-3	1-2	3	2	3	0	6
Isaiah Jackson	Guard	14	2-3	0-0	2-2	4	1	0	0	6
Cam Manyawu	F	18	1-5	0-0	3-4	3	0	0	3	5
Isaia Howard	G	21	1-2	0-0	0-0	4	0	2	1	2
Kael Combs	G	18	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2

Missouri State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Michael Osei-Bonsu	F	44	10-16	0-0	4-8	13	3	0	2	24
Vincent Brady II	G	41	5-8	4-7	0-0	4	4	0	0	14
Dez White	G	27	3-6	2-5	0-0	0	1	1	0	8
Zaxton King	G	34	2-6	1-3	2-2	1	2	1	1	7
Chase Martin	Guard	31	3-6	1-3	0-0	3	0	0	1	7
Jalen Hampton	G	15	1-4	0-2	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
Logan Epes	G	15	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Mozae Downing-Rivers	G	14	0-1	0-0	0-2	1	0	0	0	0
Wesley Oba	Forward	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

60.6Possessions60.6

113.9Offensive Efficiency102.3

102.3Defensive Efficiency113.9

11.6Net Efficiency-11.6

49.0%Effective FG%58.3%

55.3%True Shooting %57.7%

14.9%Turnover Rate28.0%

47.1%Free Throw Rate25.0%

31.4%3-Point Rate41.7%

1.22Assist / Turnover0.59

Game Summary

Drake won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 60.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.