Belmont

26-6

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

60.0%Belmont

40.0%Murray State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBelmont -2.4

PROJECTED TOTAL164.8

MODEL MONEYLINEBelmont -150

Murray State

20-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBelmont 84

Projected Total164.8

Projected ScoreMurray State 81

Team Comparison

BelmontMetricMurray State

61.8MMH Power Index53.6

118.6Offensive Efficiency115.0

103.7Defensive Efficiency111.0

14.9Net Efficiency4.0

-0.2Strength of Schedule3.5

10.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.5

70.7Tempo72.3

60.7%Effective FG%54.0%

17.8%Turnover Rate16.3%

28.8%Offensive Rebound %32.7%

32.7%Free Throw Rate39.1%

10.5Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Belmont HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBelmont holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.8–53.6), offensive efficiency (118.6–115.0), defensive efficiency (103.7–111.0), net efficiency (14.9–4.0).

Murray State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (3.5–-0.2), ball security (16.3–17.8), offensive rebounding (32.7–28.8).

Final

Belmont

95—77

Murray State

Belmont by 18 • 66.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BelmontTEAM STATMurray State

32-63FG29-58

51.0%FG%50.0%

9-203PT10-27

45.0%3PT%37.0%

22-27FT9-15

81.0%FT%60.0%

35Rebounds34

17Offensive Rebounds15

15Assists13

8Turnovers16

10Steals5

2Blocks7

18Fouls18

Player Box Score

Belmont

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Drew Scharnowski	F	18	7-9	0-0	6-8	8	0	0	1	20
Carter Whitt	Guard	37	5-15	1-3	6-6	4	6	3	0	17
Sam Orme	F	20	6-11	1-3	0-0	5	0	1	0	13
Aidan Noyes	F	23	4-5	3-4	0-0	2	1	1	1	11
Jonathan Pierre	Forward	17	3-6	1-2	3-4	4	3	0	0	10
Isaiah Walker	G	30	2-6	1-2	3-4	8	2	1	0	8
Brigham Rogers	F	14	3-4	0-0	1-1	1	0	2	0	7
Brody Peebles	Guard	17	1-2	1-2	3-4	0	1	1	0	6
Tyler Lundblade	G	21	1-5	1-4	0-0	1	2	1	0	3
Win Miller	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Keith Robbins	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jake Dykstra	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Murray State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
JaCobi Wood	Guard	34	7-12	5-8	0-3	4	6	0	1	19
Terence Harcum	Guard	33	5-10	3-7	1-1	3	4	0	0	14
Nick Ellington	F	30	4-8	0-0	5-7	7	0	1	3	13
Kylen Milton	Guard	21	4-6	0-1	2-2	5	0	0	1	10
Justin Morgan	Guard	20	3-7	2-6	1-2	2	1	1	1	9
AJ Ferguson	Guard	37	4-10	0-3	0-0	5	2	2	1	8
KyeRon Lindsay-Martin	F	10	2-2	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	4
Alden Applewhite	F	15	0-3	0-2	0-0	2	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.4Possessions66.4

143.1Offensive Efficiency116.0

116.0Defensive Efficiency143.1

27.1Net Efficiency-27.1

57.9%Effective FG%58.6%

62.6%True Shooting %59.1%

12.0%Turnover Rate24.2%

42.9%Free Throw Rate25.9%

31.7%3-Point Rate46.6%

1.88Assist / Turnover0.81

Game Summary

Belmont won by 18 points. The game played at approximately 66.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.