Colgate

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

39.1%Colgate

60.9%American University

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAmerican University -4.3

PROJECTED TOTAL150.1

MODEL MONEYLINEAmerican University -156

American University

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreColgate 73

Projected Total150.1

Projected ScoreAmerican University 77

Team Comparison

ColgateMetricAmerican University

48.8MMH Power Index48.2

111.7Offensive Efficiency110.6

109.0Defensive Efficiency105.8

2.7Net Efficiency4.8

-2.0Strength of Schedule-4.3

-0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency2.2

68.4Tempo67.5

54.5%Effective FG%52.6%

14.8%Turnover Rate15.7%

26.9%Offensive Rebound %28.0%

30.0%Free Throw Rate30.1%

1.8Average Margin3.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

American University HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAmerican University holds the advantage in defensive efficiency (105.8–109.0), net efficiency (4.8–2.7), recent form (2.2–-0.3), offensive rebounding (28.0–26.9).

Colgate COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (48.8–48.2), offensive efficiency (111.7–110.6), strength of schedule (-2.0–-4.3).

Final

Colgate

77—81

American University

American University by 4 • 65.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ColgateTEAM STATAmerican University

27-56FG23-50

48.0%FG%46.0%

8-193PT9-20

42.0%3PT%45.0%

15-22FT26-32

68.0%FT%81.0%

32Rebounds31

12Offensive Rebounds9

15Assists10

12Turnovers9

4Steals7

4Blocks3

19Fouls19

Player Box Score

Colgate

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jeff Woodward	Forward	30	12-19	0-0	1-5	11	2	1	2	25
Chandler Baker	Guard	21	4-5	2-2	3-3	1	1	0	0	13
Kyle Carlesimo	G	13	4-4	4-4	0-0	1	0	0	1	12
Jalen Cox	G	30	2-8	0-1	7-8	6	5	0	0	11
Sam Wright	F	10	2-3	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	5
Nicolas Louis-Jacques	Guard	29	1-9	1-5	1-2	2	1	1	0	4
Brady Cummins	G	24	1-3	0-1	2-2	4	0	0	0	4
Julian Scott	Guard	11	1-1	0-0	1-2	2	4	1	0	3
Parker Jones	G	32	0-4	0-4	0-0	3	2	1	1	0

American University

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Matt Rogers	Forward	31	9-14	3-4	5-6	8	0	1	1	26
Greg Jones	F	32	5-9	3-4	5-6	5	1	0	0	18
Elijah Stephens	Guard	36	5-8	2-2	3-4	2	4	2	0	15
Colin Smalls	Guard	23	2-9	1-6	5-6	2	1	2	0	10
Matt Mayock	F	25	1-4	0-2	5-6	2	2	0	2	7
Eric Michaels	F	7	0-1	0-0	3-4	1	0	0	0	3
Wyatt Nausadis	G	7	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
Lincoln Ball	Guard	29	0-1	0-0	0-0	5	1	0	0	0
Julen Iturbe	F	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Adrian Samuels	G	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Mason Whittaker	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.9Possessions65.9

116.8Offensive Efficiency122.9

122.9Defensive Efficiency116.8

-6.1Net Efficiency6.1

55.4%Effective FG%55.0%

57.9%True Shooting %62.1%

18.1%Turnover Rate13.8%

39.3%Free Throw Rate64.0%

33.9%3-Point Rate40.0%

1.25Assist / Turnover1.11

Game Summary

American University won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 65.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.