Weber State

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

57.3%Weber State

42.7%Sacramento State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWeber State -2.2

PROJECTED TOTAL163.4

MODEL MONEYLINEWeber State -134

Sacramento State

10-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWeber State 83

Projected Total163.4

Projected ScoreSacramento State 81

Team Comparison

Weber StateMetricSacramento State

50.2MMH Power Index43

113.6Offensive Efficiency106.1

108.2Defensive Efficiency112.0

5.4Net Efficiency-5.9

-3.4Strength of Schedule0.9

-1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.8

71.5Tempo73.2

52.6%Effective FG%48.5%

15.5%Turnover Rate14.2%

32.6%Offensive Rebound %25.1%

38.3%Free Throw Rate41.8%

3.9Average Margin-4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Weber State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWeber State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.2–43.0), offensive efficiency (113.6–106.1), defensive efficiency (108.2–112.0), net efficiency (5.4–-5.9).

Sacramento State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.9–-3.4), ball security (14.2–15.5), free throw rate (41.8–38.3).

Final

Weber State

87—81

Sacramento State

Weber State by 6 • 67.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Weber StateTEAM STATSacramento State

27-49FG29-63

55.0%FG%46.0%

11-223PT14-36

50.0%3PT%39.0%

22-31FT9-11

71.0%FT%82.0%

33Rebounds32

8Offensive Rebounds11

15Assists15

11Turnovers10

6Steals3

—Blocks4

15Fouls22

Player Box Score

Weber State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Blaise Threatt	Guard	37	9-14	2-3	6-10	9	7	3	26
Viljami Vartiainen	G	27	6-10	4-7	6-6	2	1	0	22
Trevor Hennig	G	24	3-5	1-2	5-7	1	1	0	12
Alex Tew	Center	21	4-4	0-0	3-4	4	2	0	11
Dyson Koehler	Forward	32	2-8	2-5	0-2	6	2	1	6
Nigel Burris	F	21	2-5	1-3	0-0	1	1	1	5
Nemanja Sarenac	F	6	1-1	1-1	2-2	0	1	0	5
Declan Cutler	F	16	0-1	0-0	0-0	4	0	1	0
Marko Sarenac	Forward	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0
Saadiq Moore	Guard	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0

Sacramento State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jacob Holt	Forward	24	6-11	2-5	4-5	6	0	2	0	18
Julian Vaughns	Guard	22	6-13	3-6	2-2	7	3	0	1	17
Michael Wilson	G	29	5-7	4-6	0-0	6	1	1	0	14
Leo Ricketts	Guard	14	5-6	3-3	0-0	0	4	0	0	13
Chudi Dioramma	F	16	5-6	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	2	10
EJ Neal Jr.	G	34	1-11	1-10	2-2	3	1	0	1	5
Bailey Nunn	G	22	1-3	1-2	1-2	0	3	0	0	4
Lachlan Brewer	G	35	0-4	0-4	0-0	4	2	0	0	0
Deonte Williams	Guard	4	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.0Possessions67.0

129.9Offensive Efficiency120.9

120.9Defensive Efficiency129.9

9.0Net Efficiency-9.0

66.3%Effective FG%57.1%

68.3%True Shooting %59.4%

16.5%Turnover Rate14.9%

63.3%Free Throw Rate17.5%

44.9%3-Point Rate57.1%

1.36Assist / Turnover1.50

Game Summary

Weber State won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 67.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.