Idaho State

13-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

27.1%Idaho State

72.9%Portland State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADPortland State -8.8

PROJECTED TOTAL150.6

MODEL MONEYLINEPortland State -269

Portland State

20-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIdaho State 71

Projected Total150.6

Projected ScorePortland State 80

Team Comparison

Idaho StateMetricPortland State

45.9MMH Power Index50.2

111.0Offensive Efficiency109.3

113.4Defensive Efficiency100.2

-2.4Net Efficiency9.1

0.2Strength of Schedule-5.6

-9.6Last 10 Net Efficiency0.4

67.1Tempo70.1

52.2%Effective FG%51.7%

16.5%Turnover Rate16.6%

33.9%Offensive Rebound %31.6%

39.1%Free Throw Rate36.8%

-1.6Average Margin6.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Idaho State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY72.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIdaho State holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (111.0–109.3), strength of schedule (0.2–-5.6), shooting efficiency (52.2–51.7), ball security (16.5–16.6).

Portland State COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (50.2–45.9), defensive efficiency (100.2–113.4), net efficiency (9.1–-2.4).

Final

Idaho State

59—76

Portland State

Portland State by 17 • 68.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Idaho StateTEAM STATPortland State

21-67FG27-54

31.0%FG%50.0%

3-203PT7-18

15.0%3PT%39.0%

14-18FT15-22

78.0%FT%68.0%

38Rebounds43

19Offensive Rebounds12

9Assists18

14Turnovers14

3Steals6

3Blocks7

19Fouls18

Player Box Score

Idaho State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dylan Darling	G	37	4-11	2-5	1-2	0	4	1	1	11
Isaiah Griffin	F	33	3-14	0-2	4-6	8	1	0	0	10
Jackson Greene	Forward	26	2-5	0-0	4-5	3	0	0	0	8
Blake Daberkow	F	17	3-5	0-0	2-2	3	0	1	1	8
Jake O'Neil	Guard	31	3-14	0-4	0-0	6	2	1	1	6
Connor Hollenbeck	F	21	2-8	1-6	0-0	3	0	0	0	5
Evan Otten	F	16	2-2	0-0	0-0	6	1	0	0	4
AJ Burgin	Guard	9	0-4	0-2	3-3	2	1	0	0	3
Jaedyn Brown	G	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Joey Madimba	G	3	1-3	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Quentin Meza	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Portland State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaylin Henderson	G	37	12-18	3-6	4-4	4	2	0	1	31
Terri Miller Jr.	F	29	6-9	2-2	0-0	11	3	1	0	14
Qiant Myers	Guard	34	4-9	1-4	2-2	3	8	0	2	11
Isaiah Johnson	Forward	32	2-8	0-2	5-6	4	0	2	1	9
Cole Farrell	G	18	2-5	1-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	5
Tre-Vaughn Minott	C	31	1-4	0-0	2-5	10	2	1	3	4
Shane Nowell	Guard	11	0-1	0-1	2-4	1	2	1	0	2
Kelcy Phipps	G	7	0-0	0-0	0-1	0	1	0	0	0
Isaac Brice	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.6Possessions68.6

86.0Offensive Efficiency110.8

110.8Defensive Efficiency86.0

-24.8Net Efficiency24.8

33.6%Effective FG%56.5%

39.0%True Shooting %59.0%

19.8%Turnover Rate21.1%

26.9%Free Throw Rate40.7%

29.9%3-Point Rate33.3%

0.64Assist / Turnover1.29

Game Summary

Portland State won by 17 points. The game played at approximately 68.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.