Long Beach State

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

24.8%Long Beach State

75.2%Cal Poly

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCal Poly -7.0

PROJECTED TOTAL164.3

MODEL MONEYLINECal Poly -303

Cal Poly

14-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLong Beach State 79

Projected Total164.3

Projected ScoreCal Poly 86

Team Comparison

Long Beach StateMetricCal Poly

41.1MMH Power Index46.5

103.8Offensive Efficiency107.2

107.8Defensive Efficiency111.0

-4.0Net Efficiency-3.8

-1.4Strength of Schedule1.7

-6.7Last 10 Net Efficiency2.4

72.2Tempo76.6

51.5%Effective FG%52.2%

17.7%Turnover Rate19.8%

26.3%Offensive Rebound %29.9%

31.1%Free Throw Rate35.8%

-2.9Average Margin-2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cal Poly HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY75.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCal Poly holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (46.5–41.1), offensive efficiency (107.2–103.8), net efficiency (-3.8–-4.0), strength of schedule (1.7–-1.4).

Long Beach State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (107.8–111.0), ball security (17.7–19.8).

Final

Long Beach State

69—78

Cal Poly

Cal Poly by 9 • 71.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Long Beach StateTEAM STATCal Poly

25-62FG30-59

40.0%FG%51.0%

7-223PT6-15

32.0%3PT%40.0%

12-16FT12-17

75.0%FT%71.0%

42Rebounds31

20Offensive Rebounds11

7Assists6

23Turnovers15

10Steals9

4Blocks4

18Fouls20

Player Box Score

Long Beach State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Devin Askew	G	36	11-22	5-8	8-9	7	2	4	0	35
TJ Wainwright	G	36	5-12	1-5	1-2	3	2	1	0	12
Austin Johnson	Not Available	36	2-4	0-0	2-2	9	2	0	0	6
Derrick Michael Xzavierro	F	20	3-4	0-0	0-0	6	0	0	1	6
Kam Martin	G	21	2-5	1-3	0-0	0	0	3	1	5
Cam Denson	F	15	2-8	0-1	1-1	8	1	1	2	5
Varick Lewis	G	21	0-6	0-4	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Eli Djordjevic	Guard	8	0-0	0-0	0-2	1	0	0	0	0
Jason Hart Jr.	Guard	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Cal Poly

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jarred Hyder	Guard	35	7-11	5-7	0-1	0	1	3	0	19
Mac Riniker	Guard	26	7-12	0-2	2-2	3	2	0	1	16
Owen Koonce	Guard	33	7-14	1-3	0-0	6	0	2	0	15
Aaron Price Jr.	PF	15	3-8	0-0	3-4	1	0	0	0	9
Isaac Jessup	Guard	35	4-8	0-2	0-0	1	2	2	0	8
Peter Bandelj	G	24	2-5	0-1	3-5	6	0	0	1	7
Luka Tarlac	G	19	0-0	0-0	4-5	2	0	2	2	4
Cayden Ward	G	13	0-1	0-0	0-0	5	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.9Possessions71.9

96.0Offensive Efficiency108.5

108.5Defensive Efficiency96.0

-12.5Net Efficiency12.5

46.0%Effective FG%55.9%

49.6%True Shooting %58.1%

31.7%Turnover Rate21.1%

25.8%Free Throw Rate28.8%

35.5%3-Point Rate25.4%

0.30Assist / Turnover0.40

Game Summary

Cal Poly won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 71.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.