Northwestern State

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

6.9%Northwestern State

93.1%Stephen F. Austin

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADStephen F. Austin -18.2

PROJECTED TOTAL138.7

MODEL MONEYLINEStephen F. Austin -1349

Stephen F. Austin

28-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthwestern State 60

Projected Total138.7

Projected ScoreStephen F. Austin 78

Team Comparison

Northwestern StateMetricStephen F. Austin

41.3MMH Power Index60.1

104.0Offensive Efficiency114.3

109.0Defensive Efficiency99.4

-5.0Net Efficiency14.9

-1.6Strength of Schedule-1.8

-4.9Last 10 Net Efficiency4.7

63.6Tempo67.0

49.5%Effective FG%52.2%

17.6%Turnover Rate13.9%

27.1%Offensive Rebound %34.3%

41.2%Free Throw Rate30.3%

-3.2Average Margin10.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Stephen F. Austin HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY93.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMStephen F. Austin holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (60.1–41.3), offensive efficiency (114.3–104.0), defensive efficiency (99.4–109.0), net efficiency (14.9–-5.0).

Northwestern State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.6–-1.8), free throw rate (41.2–30.3).

Final

Northwestern State

57—54

Stephen F. Austin

Northwestern State by 3 • 74.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northwestern StateTEAM STATStephen F. Austin

18-63FG19-62

29.0%FG%31.0%

6-163PT11-27

38.0%3PT%41.0%

15-25FT5-12

60.0%FT%42.0%

53Rebounds43

18Offensive Rebounds10

10Assists14

18Turnovers17

11Steals8

4Blocks12

15Fouls19

Player Box Score

Northwestern State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Addison Patterson	F	40	6-18	2-4	5-9	10	4	1	1	19
Micah Thomas	G	32	4-14	2-3	0-0	4	0	1	0	10
Love Bettis	G	19	1-6	0-1	6-6	3	2	3	0	8
Willie Williams	F	30	2-3	0-0	1-4	11	0	1	0	5
Landyn Jumawan	G	22	1-5	1-2	1-2	7	1	1	0	4
JT Warren	Forward	21	1-4	0-2	1-1	2	1	0	0	3
Justin Redmond	G	7	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	3
Jerald Colonel	F	29	1-3	0-0	0-1	8	1	2	3	2
Jon Sanders II	G	13	1-7	0-2	0-0	1	1	1	0	2
Lado Laku	Forward	9	0-0	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	1
Chris Mubiru	G	3	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Stephen F. Austin

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Matt Hayman	G	33	4-14	4-10	3-6	7	1	2	1	15
Myles Jenkins	Guard	27	3-6	3-4	0-0	2	0	0	0	9
Chrishawn Christmas	G	35	3-9	2-5	0-0	5	3	1	3	8
Nana Antwi-Boasiako	Forward	24	4-9	0-2	0-0	3	0	0	3	8
Keith Lamar	F	22	2-8	2-4	1-2	2	1	0	0	7
Keon Thompson	G	39	2-10	0-1	1-2	9	7	3	1	5
Juhlawnei Stone	Forward	26	1-2	0-0	0-2	4	0	1	4	2
Thierno Sylla	C	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Clayton Southwick	Forward	5	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Dominic Pangonis	G	5	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Keenan Emmanuel	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.8Possessions74.8

76.2Offensive Efficiency72.2

72.2Defensive Efficiency76.2

4.0Net Efficiency-4.0

33.3%Effective FG%39.5%

38.1%True Shooting %39.9%

24.0%Turnover Rate22.8%

39.7%Free Throw Rate19.4%

25.4%3-Point Rate43.5%

0.56Assist / Turnover0.82

Game Summary

Northwestern State won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 74.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.