South Alabama

21-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

30.8%South Alabama

69.2%Troy

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTroy -6.6

PROJECTED TOTAL150.0

MODEL MONEYLINETroy -225

Troy

22-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouth Alabama 72

Projected Total150.0

Projected ScoreTroy 78

Team Comparison

South AlabamaMetricTroy

51.4MMH Power Index54.1

110.3Offensive Efficiency112.6

103.9Defensive Efficiency103.9

6.4Net Efficiency8.7

-3.7Strength of Schedule-2.2

3.4Last 10 Net Efficiency2.0

67.4Tempo70.4

53.2%Effective FG%52.1%

12.8%Turnover Rate17.1%

24.9%Offensive Rebound %35.3%

39.8%Free Throw Rate36.8%

4.3Average Margin6.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Troy HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTroy holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.1–51.4), offensive efficiency (112.6–110.3), net efficiency (8.7–6.4), strength of schedule (-2.2–-3.7).

South Alabama COUNTERS WITHrecent form (3.4–2.0), shooting efficiency (53.2–52.1), ball security (12.8–17.1).

Final

South Alabama

55—65

Troy

Troy by 10 • 62.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

South AlabamaTEAM STATTroy

20-51FG23-64

39.0%FG%36.0%

6-223PT12-40

27.0%3PT%30.0%

9-15FT7-10

60.0%FT%70.0%

35Rebounds41

11Offensive Rebounds20

8Assists18

15Turnovers13

10Steals9

2Blocks7

14Fouls12

Player Box Score

South Alabama

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jayden Cooper	G	27	6-12	4-8	1-3	4	1	2	0	17
Barry Dunning Jr.	G	34	4-12	0-2	1-2	9	3	0	1	9
Judah Brown	Forward	31	3-8	1-6	0-0	7	0	3	0	7
JJ Wheat	G	25	2-6	0-0	3-4	1	1	3	0	7
Randy Brady	F	21	2-2	1-1	0-0	0	2	0	0	5
Cantia Rahming	Forward	13	1-2	0-0	3-4	7	0	0	0	5
Myles Corey	G	22	2-4	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	4
John Broom	G	15	0-1	0-1	1-2	4	0	2	1	1
Dylan Fasoyiro	Guard	6	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Elijah Ormiston	Forward	6	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Troy

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Myles Rigsby	G	30	5-10	1-5	4-4	6	3	3	2	15
Cooper Campbell	G	20	4-9	4-8	0-0	2	0	0	0	12
Tayton Conerway	G	34	4-17	1-10	1-4	5	9	5	1	10
Thomas Dowd	F	28	3-9	2-4	0-0	6	0	0	0	8
Jackson Fields	F	24	2-4	1-1	2-2	10	0	1	0	7
Theo Seng	F	12	2-2	2-2	0-0	1	1	0	1	6
Marcus Rigsby Jr.	G	21	2-9	1-8	0-0	4	1	0	1	5
Victor Valdes	F	19	1-3	0-2	0-0	2	3	0	1	2
Randarius Jones	C	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
Jerrell Bellamy	C	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Kerrington Kiel	F	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.0Possessions62.0

88.7Offensive Efficiency104.8

104.8Defensive Efficiency88.7

-16.1Net Efficiency16.1

45.1%Effective FG%45.3%

47.3%True Shooting %47.3%

24.1%Turnover Rate21.1%

29.4%Free Throw Rate15.6%

43.1%3-Point Rate62.5%

0.53Assist / Turnover1.38

Game Summary

Troy won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 62.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.