Colorado State

21-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

60.2%Colorado State

39.8%Fresno State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADColorado State -1.2

PROJECTED TOTAL147.6

MODEL MONEYLINEColorado State -151

Fresno State

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreColorado State 74

Projected Total147.6

Projected ScoreFresno State 73

Team Comparison

Colorado StateMetricFresno State

55.4MMH Power Index47.1

117.1Offensive Efficiency104.9

109.9Defensive Efficiency104.9

7.2Net Efficiency0.0

0.4Strength of Schedule1.5

4.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.0

64.7Tempo69.4

58.6%Effective FG%51.3%

18.3%Turnover Rate18.2%

29.2%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

41.2%Free Throw Rate35.5%

4.6Average Margin0.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Colorado State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMColorado State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.4–47.1), offensive efficiency (117.1–104.9), net efficiency (7.2–0.0), recent form (4.3–-6.0).

Fresno State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.9–109.9), strength of schedule (1.5–0.4), ball security (18.2–18.3).

Final

Colorado State

69—64

Fresno State

Colorado State by 5 • 62.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Colorado StateTEAM STATFresno State

25-53FG21-48

47.0%FG%44.0%

8-263PT8-23

31.0%3PT%35.0%

11-16FT14-18

69.0%FT%78.0%

35Rebounds27

10Offensive Rebounds5

15Assists8

11Turnovers11

4Steals5

2Blocks1

16Fouls13

Player Box Score

Colorado State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nique Clifford	Guard	33	8-13	2-4	6-9	8	7	2	0	24
Jaylen Crocker-Johnson	F	20	5-7	1-2	0-0	6	1	0	1	11
Jalen Lake	Guard	31	3-11	2-8	2-2	3	0	0	0	10
Kyan Evans	G	30	3-10	1-6	2-3	2	0	1	0	9
Kyle Jorgensen	F	14	2-3	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0	4
Rashaan Mbemba	F	22	1-1	0-0	1-2	2	3	0	1	3
Keshawn Williams	G	15	1-3	1-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Bowen Born	Guard	14	1-4	1-4	0-0	3	1	1	0	3
Ethan Morton	Guard	21	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	2

Fresno State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Alex Crawford	F	38	7-16	3-8	3-3	7	0	0	0	20
Zaon Collins	G	38	7-14	3-6	0-3	4	3	2	0	17
Elijah Price	F	33	3-7	0-2	7-7	6	3	1	1	13
Jalen Weaver	Guard	35	3-5	1-3	3-3	1	1	2	0	10
Jasir Tremble	Guard	20	1-4	1-3	0-0	0	1	0	0	3
Mor Seck	C	17	0-0	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	0	1
Pierre Geneste Jr.	C	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Brian Amuneke	G	8	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.1Possessions62.1

111.1Offensive Efficiency103.1

103.1Defensive Efficiency111.1

8.1Net Efficiency-8.1

54.7%Effective FG%52.1%

56.9%True Shooting %56.6%

17.9%Turnover Rate17.6%

30.2%Free Throw Rate37.5%

49.1%3-Point Rate47.9%

1.36Assist / Turnover0.73

Game Summary

Colorado State won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 62.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.