Florida State

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

36.2%Florida State

63.8%Stanford

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADStanford -4.5

PROJECTED TOTAL156.5

MODEL MONEYLINEStanford -176

Stanford

20-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreFlorida State 76

Projected Total156.5

Projected ScoreStanford 80

Team Comparison

Florida StateMetricStanford

58.7MMH Power Index59.2

111.9Offensive Efficiency111.6

108.5Defensive Efficiency107.1

3.4Net Efficiency4.5

5.7Strength of Schedule5.2

7.6Last 10 Net Efficiency7.4

71.8Tempo68.1

52.4%Effective FG%51.9%

15.2%Turnover Rate15.5%

30.3%Offensive Rebound %32.4%

35.2%Free Throw Rate37.2%

2.4Average Margin3.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Stanford HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY63.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMStanford holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.2–58.7), defensive efficiency (107.1–108.5), net efficiency (4.5–3.4), offensive rebounding (32.4–30.3).

Florida State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (111.9–111.6), strength of schedule (5.7–5.2), recent form (7.6–7.4).

Final

Florida State

71—78

Stanford

Stanford by 7 • 68.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Florida StateTEAM STATStanford

22-58FG26-55

38.0%FG%47.0%

6-203PT11-23

30.0%3PT%48.0%

21-28FT15-21

75.0%FT%71.0%

35Rebounds33

15Offensive Rebounds11

9Assists17

13Turnovers14

8Steals3

1Blocks1

19Fouls23

Player Box Score

Florida State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jamir Watkins	Guard	35	8-16	2-4	2-4	8	2	2	0	20
Malique Ewin	F	23	3-9	0-1	10-12	7	3	0	0	16
Daquan Davis	G	32	4-12	2-5	4-4	2	2	2	0	14
Bostyn Holt	Guard	15	2-3	0-0	3-4	1	0	2	0	7
Taylor Bol Bowen	F	32	2-5	1-3	0-0	2	0	1	1	5
Christian Nitu	F	9	2-6	0-2	1-2	5	0	0	0	5
Jerry Deng	F	15	1-4	1-4	1-2	1	0	0	0	4
Justin Thomas	G	28	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	2	1	0	0
Alier Maluk	F	10	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Anastasios Rozakeas	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Stanford

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Oziyah Sellers	G	37	10-16	4-5	3-4	2	2	1	0	27
Jaylen Blakes	Guard	33	3-6	1-2	6-6	3	3	1	1	13
Benny Gealer	G	25	4-8	3-5	2-2	1	4	0	0	13
Maxime Raynaud	Forward	36	4-11	0-2	0-0	14	2	0	0	8
Ryan Agarwal	G	23	2-8	1-6	2-3	5	3	1	0	7
Donavin Young	F	20	2-4	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	5
Chisom Okpara	F	13	1-2	1-1	2-4	3	1	0	0	5
Aidan Cammann	F	13	0-0	0-0	0-2	3	2	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.7Possessions68.7

103.3Offensive Efficiency113.5

113.5Defensive Efficiency103.3

-10.2Net Efficiency10.2

43.1%Effective FG%57.3%

49.8%True Shooting %60.0%

18.8%Turnover Rate20.6%

48.3%Free Throw Rate38.2%

34.5%3-Point Rate41.8%

0.69Assist / Turnover1.21

Game Summary

Stanford won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 68.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.