Merrimack

23-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

47.3%Merrimack

52.7%Fairfield

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADFairfield -2.3

PROJECTED TOTAL140.0

MODEL MONEYLINEFairfield -111

Fairfield

21-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMerrimack 69

Projected Total140.0

Projected ScoreFairfield 71

Team Comparison

MerrimackMetricFairfield

53.7MMH Power Index50.1

106.4Offensive Efficiency109.6

103.2Defensive Efficiency105.4

3.2Net Efficiency4.2

0.7Strength of Schedule-3.4

12.9Last 10 Net Efficiency3.3

64.4Tempo67.8

49.3%Effective FG%49.1%

14.8%Turnover Rate15.0%

24.7%Offensive Rebound %36.0%

39.5%Free Throw Rate28.4%

2.1Average Margin2.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Merrimack HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY52.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMerrimack holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.7–50.1), defensive efficiency (103.2–105.4), strength of schedule (0.7–-3.4), recent form (12.9–3.3).

Fairfield COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (109.6–106.4), net efficiency (4.2–3.2), offensive rebounding (36.0–24.7).

Final

Merrimack

75—54

Fairfield

Merrimack by 21 • 65.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MerrimackTEAM STATFairfield

28-55FG20-60

51.0%FG%33.0%

13-293PT4-22

45.0%3PT%18.0%

6-9FT10-14

67.0%FT%71.0%

34Rebounds36

6Offensive Rebounds14

16Assists12

10Turnovers14

9Steals6

4Blocks—

13Fouls12

Player Box Score

Merrimack

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Matt Becht	Guard	34	8-14	6-12	0-0	1	0	1	0	22
Adam Clark	G	37	7-16	2-5	4-6	4	12	3	0	20
Devon Savage	Guard	36	5-10	4-8	0-0	7	1	1	1	14
Bryan Etumnu	F	36	3-6	0-1	1-1	12	2	2	3	7
Malik Edmead	G	8	2-2	0-0	1-2	0	0	2	0	5
Tye Dorset	G	7	1-2	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Sean Trumper	Forward	32	1-4	0-2	0-0	8	1	0	0	2
David Murray	Forward	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Armandas Plintauskas	Guard	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Christian Foy	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Fairfield

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Peyton Smith	F	30	6-11	0-0	1-3	7	1	0	13
Louis Bleechmore	Guard	27	2-10	2-7	2-2	6	1	0	8
Jamie Bergens	Guard	35	3-9	0-3	1-2	5	2	1	7
Kyle Jenkins	Forward	11	2-4	0-1	3-3	0	0	1	7
Michael Rogan	G	32	2-6	1-3	0-0	5	2	2	5
Braden Sparks	G	29	1-9	0-4	3-4	2	4	1	5
Birima Seck	Forward	7	2-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	4
Deon Perry	Guard	11	1-4	1-4	0-0	2	2	0	3
Makuei Riek	Guard	6	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	2
Prophet Johnson	G	12	0-4	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.0Possessions65.0

115.4Offensive Efficiency83.1

83.1Defensive Efficiency115.4

32.3Net Efficiency-32.3

62.7%Effective FG%36.7%

63.3%True Shooting %40.5%

15.8%Turnover Rate21.0%

16.4%Free Throw Rate23.3%

52.7%3-Point Rate36.7%

1.60Assist / Turnover0.86

Game Summary

Merrimack won by 21 points. The game played at approximately 65.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.