Miami

26-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

62.1%Miami

37.9%California

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMiami -2.4

PROJECTED TOTAL154.6

MODEL MONEYLINEMiami -164

California

22-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMiami 79

Projected Total154.6

Projected ScoreCalifornia 76

Team Comparison

MiamiMetricCalifornia

65.5MMH Power Index56.5

117.8Offensive Efficiency111.8

103.0Defensive Efficiency104.8

14.8Net Efficiency7.0

3.6Strength of Schedule2.8

3.6Last 10 Net Efficiency1.8

69.2Tempo69.9

55.5%Effective FG%52.6%

16.2%Turnover Rate14.9%

37.3%Offensive Rebound %26.6%

37.9%Free Throw Rate36.8%

10.3Average Margin4.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Miami HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMiami holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.5–56.5), offensive efficiency (117.8–111.8), defensive efficiency (103.0–104.8), net efficiency (14.8–7.0).

California COUNTERS WITHball security (14.9–16.2).

Final

Miami

94—98

California

California by 4 • 78.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MiamiTEAM STATCalifornia

31-68FG31-63

46.0%FG%49.0%

14-273PT9-28

52.0%3PT%32.0%

18-21FT27-36

86.0%FT%75.0%

34Rebounds41

7Offensive Rebounds10

14Assists13

6Turnovers9

4Steals5

2Blocks1

24Fouls15

Player Box Score

Miami

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Matthew Cleveland	Guard	37	9-19	3-5	9-9	8	3	0	0	30
Brandon Johnson	Forward	37	6-12	4-7	0-0	8	2	0	0	16
Paul Djobet	G	32	4-10	2-3	2-2	1	0	1	0	12
Jalil Bethea	G	31	4-8	1-1	2-2	6	5	0	0	11
AJ Staton-McCray	G	33	3-7	2-4	0-0	3	0	3	1	8
Austin Swartz	G	11	2-4	2-3	2-2	0	1	0	0	8
Kiree Huie	F	18	2-3	0-0	0-1	4	0	0	1	4
Jalen Blackmon	Guard	10	1-4	0-3	1-1	0	1	0	0	3
Divine Ugochukwu	G	16	0-1	0-1	2-4	1	2	0	0	2

California

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jeremiah Wilkinson	G	40	10-22	1-10	9-10	4	1	0	0	30
DeJuan Campbell	G	38	6-12	1-5	9-11	7	4	2	0	22
Jovan Blacksher Jr.	Guard	29	4-9	3-7	0-0	3	0	1	0	11
Rytis Petraitis	F	39	1-3	0-0	6-10	5	3	2	0	8
Lee Dort	F	16	4-6	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	1	8
Mady Sissoko	Center	29	2-3	0-0	2-3	10	1	0	0	6
Joshua Ola-Joseph	F	14	2-5	2-4	0-0	1	0	0	0	6
Spencer Mahoney	F	5	2-3	2-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	6
Christian Tucker	Guard	15	0-0	0-0	1-2	1	3	0	0	1

Advanced Game Stats

78.1Possessions78.1

120.4Offensive Efficiency125.5

125.5Defensive Efficiency120.4

-5.1Net Efficiency5.1

55.9%Effective FG%56.3%

60.3%True Shooting %61.2%

7.8%Turnover Rate11.4%

30.9%Free Throw Rate57.1%

39.7%3-Point Rate44.4%

2.33Assist / Turnover1.44

Game Summary

California won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 78.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.