UC Santa Barbara

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

42.9%UC Santa Barbara

57.1%Cal State Fullerton

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCal State Fullerton -1.8

PROJECTED TOTAL161.4

MODEL MONEYLINECal State Fullerton -133

Cal State Fullerton

18-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC Santa Barbara 80

Projected Total161.4

Projected ScoreCal State Fullerton 82

Team Comparison

UC Santa BarbaraMetricCal State Fullerton

51.4MMH Power Index49.4

113.2Offensive Efficiency108.8

106.1Defensive Efficiency107.1

7.1Net Efficiency1.7

-2.0Strength of Schedule-1.2

-1.7Last 10 Net Efficiency2.7

68.5Tempo76.3

54.8%Effective FG%52.6%

18.7%Turnover Rate15.1%

32.5%Offensive Rebound %25.5%

37.9%Free Throw Rate39.6%

4.8Average Margin1.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC Santa Barbara HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC Santa Barbara holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.4–49.4), offensive efficiency (113.2–108.8), defensive efficiency (106.1–107.1), net efficiency (7.1–1.7).

Cal State Fullerton COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.2–-2.0), recent form (2.7–-1.7), ball security (15.1–18.7).

Final

UC Santa Barbara

83—75

Cal State Fullerton

UC Santa Barbara by 8 • 68.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC Santa BarbaraTEAM STATCal State Fullerton

30-54FG24-55

56.0%FG%44.0%

9-253PT6-22

36.0%3PT%27.0%

14-16FT21-27

88.0%FT%78.0%

31Rebounds29

5Offensive Rebounds9

19Assists10

12Turnovers9

5Steals4

2Blocks—

20Fouls15

Player Box Score

UC Santa Barbara

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cole Anderson	Guard	34	9-14	6-10	5-5	4	4	1	0	29
Kenny Pohto	Forward	26	6-8	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	12
Stephan Swenson	Guard	35	3-3	2-2	2-2	2	7	1	0	10
Jason Fontenet II	G	35	3-5	0-2	2-3	9	2	2	0	8
Ariel Bland	F	10	2-2	0-0	3-4	4	0	1	1	7
Deuce Turner	G	23	3-11	0-5	0-0	1	3	0	0	6
Max Murrell	Forward	20	2-7	1-5	0-0	4	1	0	1	5
Ben Shtolzberg	G	12	1-3	0-1	2-2	0	0	0	0	4
Koat Keat Tong	F	5	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	2

Cal State Fullerton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Zion Richardson	Guard	35	4-10	1-5	7-7	10	1	0	16
LoLo Rudolph	Guard	29	5-6	0-1	2-4	1	3	0	12
Donovan Oday	G	23	3-9	1-2	4-6	3	2	0	11
Zachary Visentin	Center	20	3-4	0-0	5-6	3	1	1	11
Antwan Robinson	Guard	27	2-8	2-8	1-2	2	0	1	7
Kendrick De Luna	F	20	2-5	0-0	2-2	2	1	0	6
Kaleb Brown	G	22	2-5	1-1	0-0	1	2	1	5
Keith Richard	Guard	13	2-6	1-4	0-0	0	0	1	5
Kobe Young	Guard	11	1-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

68.2Possessions68.2

121.7Offensive Efficiency110.0

110.0Defensive Efficiency121.7

11.7Net Efficiency-11.7

63.9%Effective FG%49.1%

67.4%True Shooting %55.3%

17.5%Turnover Rate13.3%

29.6%Free Throw Rate49.1%

46.3%3-Point Rate40.0%

1.58Assist / Turnover1.11

Game Summary

UC Santa Barbara won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 68.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.