Jacksonville State

15-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

37.5%Jacksonville State

62.5%New Mexico State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNew Mexico State -4.0

PROJECTED TOTAL144.6

MODEL MONEYLINENew Mexico State -167

New Mexico State

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreJacksonville State 70

Projected Total144.6

Projected ScoreNew Mexico State 74

Team Comparison

Jacksonville StateMetricNew Mexico State

51.2MMH Power Index51.2

108.2Offensive Efficiency108.9

101.8Defensive Efficiency104.5

6.4Net Efficiency4.4

-2.3Strength of Schedule-0.7

-0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.0

67.2Tempo68.9

51.0%Effective FG%48.6%

17.0%Turnover Rate15.2%

31.3%Offensive Rebound %33.1%

44.5%Free Throw Rate37.0%

4.3Average Margin3.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Jacksonville State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMJacksonville State holds the advantage in defensive efficiency (101.8–104.5), net efficiency (6.4–4.4), recent form (-0.3–-2.0), shooting efficiency (51.0–48.6).

New Mexico State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (108.9–108.2), strength of schedule (-0.7–-2.3), ball security (15.2–17.0).

Final

Jacksonville State

65—59

New Mexico State

Jacksonville State by 6 • 66.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Jacksonville StateTEAM STATNew Mexico State

25-64FG22-64

39.0%FG%34.0%

6-183PT9-30

33.0%3PT%30.0%

9-12FT6-10

75.0%FT%60.0%

38Rebounds39

10Offensive Rebounds9

11Assists13

6Turnovers8

4Steals2

1Blocks—

11Fouls15

Player Box Score

Jacksonville State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaron Pierre Jr.	G	36	7-19	2-5	4-4	5	1	1	0	20
Mason Nicholson	F	30	5-6	0-0	2-3	11	1	0	0	12
Quel'Ron House	G	34	4-11	2-4	1-1	5	5	2	0	11
Jao Ituka	G	20	3-8	2-5	0-1	2	2	0	0	8
Michael Houge	F	22	2-6	0-1	1-2	6	2	0	0	5
Iaroslav Niagu	F	9	2-3	0-0	1-1	1	0	0	1	5
Koree Cotton	G	29	1-3	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Marcellus Brigham Jr.	Forward	20	1-8	0-2	0-0	6	0	1	0	2

New Mexico State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Robert Carpenter	Forward	28	6-17	4-11	0-0	5	2	0	16
Peter Filipovity	Forward	35	6-12	0-2	1-3	17	2	0	13
Christian Cook	Guard	35	4-13	3-9	2-3	2	3	0	13
Dionte Bostick	Guard	25	2-6	1-3	0-0	4	2	1	5
Jaden Harris	G	19	2-5	1-3	0-0	2	1	0	5
Zawdie Jackson	G	26	1-6	0-1	2-2	3	1	1	4
Emmanuel Tshimanga	Forward	15	1-3	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	2
Ed Nnamoko	F	4	0-0	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	1
Gabe Pickens	G	13	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.8Possessions66.8

97.3Offensive Efficiency88.3

88.3Defensive Efficiency97.3

9.0Net Efficiency-9.0

43.8%Effective FG%41.4%

46.6%True Shooting %42.9%

9.1%Turnover Rate11.8%

18.8%Free Throw Rate15.6%

28.1%3-Point Rate46.9%

1.83Assist / Turnover1.63

Game Summary

Jacksonville State won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 66.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.