UC Riverside

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

62.1%UC Riverside

37.9%Cal State Bakersfield

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Riverside -2.3

PROJECTED TOTAL155.8

MODEL MONEYLINEUC Riverside -164

Cal State Bakersfield

8-24

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC Riverside 79

Projected Total155.8

Projected ScoreCal State Bakersfield 77

Team Comparison

UC RiversideMetricCal State Bakersfield

41.2MMH Power Index32.2

103.1Offensive Efficiency100.2

110.1Defensive Efficiency112.6

-7.0Net Efficiency-12.4

0.5Strength of Schedule-1.7

-5.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-18.5

70.7Tempo73.0

49.8%Effective FG%46.4%

18.5%Turnover Rate18.6%

28.5%Offensive Rebound %30.2%

35.2%Free Throw Rate43.8%

-4.9Average Margin-9.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC Riverside HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC Riverside holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (41.2–32.2), offensive efficiency (103.1–100.2), defensive efficiency (110.1–112.6), net efficiency (-7.0–-12.4).

Cal State Bakersfield COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (30.2–28.5), free throw rate (43.8–35.2).

Final

UC Riverside

83—79

Cal State Bakersfield

UC Riverside by 4 • 63.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC RiversideTEAM STATCal State Bakersfield

26-53FG23-50

49.0%FG%46.0%

8-193PT10-18

42.0%3PT%56.0%

23-28FT23-30

82.0%FT%77.0%

33Rebounds26

14Offensive Rebounds11

7Assists8

11Turnovers10

4Steals3

2Blocks2

23Fouls22

Player Box Score

UC Riverside

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Barrington Hargress	G	34	7-10	2-4	6-8	1	3	0	0	22
Nate Pickens	G	32	3-9	0-2	7-9	5	0	2	0	13
Kaleb Smith	F	26	4-12	2-6	3-4	6	0	0	0	13
Isaiah Moses	G	27	4-6	2-3	2-2	2	3	1	1	12
Niyi Olabode	Guard	21	3-6	1-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	7
Joel Armotrading	C	24	2-3	0-0	2-2	8	1	1	1	6
Jack Whitbourn	C	11	1-2	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	4
Rikus Schulte	F	12	1-3	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Luke Turner	Forward	3	1-1	0-0	1-1	0	0	0	0	3
Parker Strauss	G	9	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Gavin Davis	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Cal State Bakersfield

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jemel Jones	G	31	6-9	2-3	6-7	4	3	1	1	20
Corey Stephenson	G	24	6-10	2-3	3-4	4	1	0	0	17
CJ Hardy	G	26	4-11	2-4	5-5	3	2	1	0	15
Marvin McGhee IV	G	21	3-4	3-3	0-1	2	0	0	0	9
Jaden Alexander	G	24	2-6	0-0	3-7	1	1	1	0	7
Marvin McGhee III	G	30	2-8	1-5	0-0	2	0	0	0	5
Fidelis Okereke	Forward	18	0-0	0-0	4-4	4	1	0	0	4
Cameron Clark	F	22	0-1	0-0	2-2	5	0	0	1	2
Kadar Waller	G	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.3Possessions63.3

131.1Offensive Efficiency124.8

124.8Defensive Efficiency131.1

6.3Net Efficiency-6.3

56.6%Effective FG%56.0%

62.6%True Shooting %61.5%

17.4%Turnover Rate15.8%

52.8%Free Throw Rate60.0%

35.8%3-Point Rate36.0%

0.64Assist / Turnover0.80

Game Summary

UC Riverside won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 63.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.