Cal State Northridge

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

29.2%Cal State Northridge

70.8%UC San Diego

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC San Diego -7.0

PROJECTED TOTAL156.5

MODEL MONEYLINEUC San Diego -242

UC San Diego

23-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal State Northridge 75

Projected Total156.5

Projected ScoreUC San Diego 82

Team Comparison

Cal State NorthridgeMetricUC San Diego

50MMH Power Index53.4

107.3Offensive Efficiency108.4

105.2Defensive Efficiency100.7

2.1Net Efficiency7.7

-0.6Strength of Schedule-1.3

1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency5.4

75.9Tempo69.8

51.0%Effective FG%53.1%

17.3%Turnover Rate16.4%

32.9%Offensive Rebound %26.9%

34.7%Free Throw Rate33.2%

1.6Average Margin5.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC San Diego HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY70.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC San Diego holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.4–50.0), offensive efficiency (108.4–107.3), defensive efficiency (100.7–105.2), net efficiency (7.7–2.1).

Cal State Northridge COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.6–-1.3), offensive rebounding (32.9–26.9), free throw rate (34.7–33.2).

Final

Cal State Northridge

54—79

UC San Diego

UC San Diego by 25 • 72.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal State NorthridgeTEAM STATUC San Diego

20-61FG27-60

33.0%FG%45.0%

2-143PT11-30

14.0%3PT%37.0%

12-18FT14-17

67.0%FT%82.0%

42Rebounds34

15Offensive Rebounds7

10Assists16

17Turnovers13

6Steals9

5Blocks6

21Fouls18

Player Box Score

Cal State Northridge

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Scotty Washington	G	30	6-13	1-5	4-5	2	2	1	0	17
Marcus Adams Jr.	F	28	6-11	0-2	3-4	5	0	1	0	15
Keonte Jones	G	32	3-8	0-0	1-1	10	2	3	1	7
Tyler Beard	Guard	26	2-6	1-4	1-2	2	5	0	0	6
Mahmoud Fofana	F	26	2-7	0-0	1-2	5	0	0	0	5
Grady Lewis	F	13	1-4	0-0	2-4	4	0	0	0	4
PJ Fuller II	Guard	24	0-6	0-3	0-0	5	1	1	3	0
Jordan Brinson	G	10	0-4	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Judson Martindale	Forward	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	0
Festus Ndumanya	Forward	3	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Jalen Barbee	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

UC San Diego

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Aniwaniwa Tait-Jones	Guard	30	10-14	0-0	12-13	2	4	0	0	32
Tyler McGhie	Guard	30	6-15	5-11	2-2	7	2	5	0	19
Hayden Gray	Guard	34	3-10	2-6	0-1	3	1	1	0	8
Justin Rochelin	G	23	3-6	2-5	0-1	4	1	0	0	8
Chris Howell	G	28	2-5	1-3	0-0	5	8	3	2	5
Maximo Milovich	Forward	19	2-2	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	2	4
Nordin Kapic	F	16	1-4	1-2	0-0	3	0	0	2	3
Aidan Burke	G	14	0-3	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Ryder Elisaldez	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Cade Pendleton	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jasen Brooks	G	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.9Possessions72.9

74.1Offensive Efficiency108.4

108.4Defensive Efficiency74.1

-34.3Net Efficiency34.3

34.4%Effective FG%54.2%

38.8%True Shooting %58.0%

23.8%Turnover Rate17.5%

29.5%Free Throw Rate28.3%

23.0%3-Point Rate50.0%

0.59Assist / Turnover1.23

Game Summary

UC San Diego won by 25 points. The game played at approximately 72.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.