Chicago State

7-25

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

19.3%Chicago State

80.7%Central Connecticut

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCentral Connecticut -11.9

PROJECTED TOTAL143.7

MODEL MONEYLINECentral Connecticut -418

Central Connecticut

18-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreChicago State 66

Projected Total143.7

Projected ScoreCentral Connecticut 78

Team Comparison

Chicago StateMetricCentral Connecticut

36.1MMH Power Index44.4

99.4Offensive Efficiency111.4

114.9Defensive Efficiency107.0

-15.5Net Efficiency4.4

0.5Strength of Schedule-7.7

-4.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.5

66.2Tempo66.3

45.6%Effective FG%54.0%

15.8%Turnover Rate15.9%

29.1%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

30.7%Free Throw Rate31.3%

-10.3Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Central Connecticut HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY80.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCentral Connecticut holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.4–36.1), offensive efficiency (111.4–99.4), defensive efficiency (107.0–114.9), net efficiency (4.4–-15.5).

Chicago State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.5–-7.7), ball security (15.8–15.9), offensive rebounding (29.1–28.2).

Final

Chicago State

64—81

Central Connecticut

Central Connecticut by 17 • 69.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Chicago StateTEAM STATCentral Connecticut

24-59FG28-63

41.0%FG%44.0%

9-293PT6-20

31.0%3PT%30.0%

7-8FT19-27

88.0%FT%70.0%

34Rebounds41

7Offensive Rebounds13

11Assists18

13Turnovers7

5Steals11

4Blocks2

20Fouls8

Player Box Score

Chicago State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Gabe Spinelli	G	35	5-10	1-1	2-2	5	2	0	0	13
Saxby Sunderland	Guard	27	4-5	2-2	0-0	0	4	0	0	10
Jalen Forrest	G	29	4-10	1-6	0-0	4	2	0	3	9
Matthew Robinson	Guard	19	3-7	2-6	0-0	1	2	1	0	8
Troy McKoy Jr.	Guard	15	2-5	1-4	2-2	1	0	0	0	7
Quincy Allen	G	22	2-9	1-5	1-2	8	1	1	1	6
CJ Delancy	F	19	1-2	0-0	2-2	6	0	1	0	4
Michael Brown	Forward	8	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Dailliss Cox	F	12	1-4	0-1	0-0	7	0	0	0	2
Noble Crawford	Forward	12	1-6	0-3	0-0	1	0	2	0	2
Alex Raiford	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Central Connecticut

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Devin Haid	G	26	7-8	1-1	2-4	7	4	2	0	17
Jordan Jones	Guard	28	6-13	0-2	4-4	6	2	2	0	16
Joe Ostrowsky	Guard	30	3-8	1-4	4-6	3	2	4	0	11
Darin Smith Jr.	F	21	4-9	3-6	0-0	4	0	0	0	11
Abdul Momoh	F	22	3-4	0-0	4-7	5	0	1	1	10
Jayden Brown	Forward	24	2-10	0-2	3-4	5	3	0	0	7
Jaelen McGlone	Guard	16	2-4	1-3	2-2	1	0	0	0	7
Davonte Sweatman	Guard	18	1-5	0-2	0-0	2	4	0	0	2
Max Frazier	F	9	0-2	0-0	0-0	3	2	2	1	0
James Jones	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Brody Limric	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.3Possessions69.3

92.4Offensive Efficiency116.9

116.9Defensive Efficiency92.4

-24.5Net Efficiency24.5

48.3%Effective FG%49.2%

51.0%True Shooting %53.4%

18.9%Turnover Rate10.0%

13.6%Free Throw Rate42.9%

49.2%3-Point Rate31.7%

0.85Assist / Turnover2.57

Game Summary

Central Connecticut won by 17 points. The game played at approximately 69.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.