Wagner

14-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

65.2%Wagner

34.8%Saint Francis

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWagner -4.3

PROJECTED TOTAL149.1

MODEL MONEYLINEWagner -187

Saint Francis

7-24

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWagner 77

Projected Total149.1

Projected ScoreSaint Francis 72

Team Comparison

WagnerMetricSaint Francis

42.9MMH Power Index32.7

105.5Offensive Efficiency101.2

106.1Defensive Efficiency114.7

-0.6Net Efficiency-13.5

-5.0Strength of Schedule-2.3

0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-10.5

67.6Tempo70.6

50.2%Effective FG%49.8%

18.9%Turnover Rate18.3%

34.0%Offensive Rebound %28.4%

31.6%Free Throw Rate31.2%

-0.4Average Margin-9.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Wagner HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWagner holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (42.9–32.7), offensive efficiency (105.5–101.2), defensive efficiency (106.1–114.7), net efficiency (-0.6–-13.5).

Saint Francis COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.3–-5.0), ball security (18.3–18.9).

Final

Wagner

68—66

Saint Francis

Wagner by 2 • 60.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

WagnerTEAM STATSaint Francis

25-52FG23-48

48.0%FG%48.0%

11-233PT7-19

48.0%3PT%37.0%

7-9FT13-17

78.0%FT%76.0%

27Rebounds27

9Offensive Rebounds10

13Assists11

13Turnovers15

7Steals8

1Blocks2

19Fouls13

Player Box Score

Wagner

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zaire Williams	G	30	4-9	2-5	2-2	7	3	2	0	12
Di'Andre Howell-South	G	22	4-5	3-3	0-2	1	0	2	0	11
Ja'Kair Sanchez	G	21	4-8	1-3	2-2	2	2	0	0	11
Javier Ezquerra	G	31	3-5	3-5	0-0	2	5	1	0	9
Keyontae Lewis	F	27	4-6	0-0	1-1	3	0	1	0	9
R.J. Greene	G	14	3-9	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	6
Zae Blake	G	16	1-5	1-4	2-2	0	2	0	0	5
Tyje Kelton	F	24	1-3	1-3	0-0	1	1	1	0	3
Churchill Bounds	F	8	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	2
Zavier Fitch	F	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0

Saint Francis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Riley Parker	G	38	5-14	1-5	4-5	2	6	3	0	15
Juan Cranford Jr.	G	34	4-7	2-4	4-5	6	1	1	0	14
Valentino Pinedo	F	26	4-7	0-0	2-4	8	1	2	1	10
Daemar Kelly	G	29	3-6	1-2	2-2	4	0	1	0	9
Jeremy Clayville	G	17	3-6	2-3	1-1	2	2	0	0	9
Chris Moncrief	G	23	2-2	1-1	0-0	1	1	1	0	5
Bobby Rosenberger III	Guard	17	2-6	0-4	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Aidan Harris	Forward	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	0
Miles Webb	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Wisler Sanon II	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

60.7Possessions60.7

112.0Offensive Efficiency108.7

108.7Defensive Efficiency112.0

3.3Net Efficiency-3.3

58.7%Effective FG%55.2%

60.4%True Shooting %58.8%

21.6%Turnover Rate24.6%

17.3%Free Throw Rate35.4%

44.2%3-Point Rate39.6%

1.00Assist / Turnover0.73

Game Summary

Wagner won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 60.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.