Eastern Illinois

13-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

27.6%Eastern Illinois

72.4%Little Rock

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLittle Rock -6.2

PROJECTED TOTAL140.9

MODEL MONEYLINELittle Rock -262

Little Rock

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreEastern Illinois 67

Projected Total140.9

Projected ScoreLittle Rock 74

Team Comparison

Eastern IllinoisMetricLittle Rock

39.9MMH Power Index44

99.6Offensive Efficiency103.0

104.4Defensive Efficiency108.2

-4.8Net Efficiency-5.2

-2.4Strength of Schedule0.5

-4.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.7

67.4Tempo68.5

47.5%Effective FG%50.3%

18.5%Turnover Rate18.7%

29.3%Offensive Rebound %32.1%

33.7%Free Throw Rate28.6%

-3.2Average Margin-3.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Little Rock HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY72.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLittle Rock holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.0–39.9), offensive efficiency (103.0–99.6), strength of schedule (0.5–-2.4), recent form (-0.7–-4.7).

Eastern Illinois COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.4–108.2), net efficiency (-4.8–-5.2), ball security (18.5–18.7).

Final

Eastern Illinois

56—54

Little Rock

Eastern Illinois by 2 • 62.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Eastern IllinoisTEAM STATLittle Rock

19-48FG20-46

40.0%FG%43.0%

6-203PT3-11

30.0%3PT%27.0%

12-17FT11-17

71.0%FT%65.0%

33Rebounds24

11Offensive Rebounds5

12Assists14

17Turnovers14

9Steals7

3Blocks6

17Fouls14

Player Box Score

Eastern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nakyel Shelton	G	28	4-8	1-4	6-6	1	1	1	2	15
Kooper Jacobi	F	32	5-8	1-3	1-3	9	1	3	0	12
Artese Stapleton	Guard	35	4-10	2-5	0-0	4	5	1	0	10
Obadiah Curtis	G	27	3-5	1-1	1-2	6	2	0	1	8
Zion Fruster	G	24	1-7	0-4	4-6	2	1	1	0	6
Corey Sawyer Jr.	Guard	17	1-4	1-3	0-0	2	1	0	0	3
Rodolfo Bolis	Forward	30	1-4	0-0	0-0	3	1	3	0	2
Lazar Grbovic	Forward	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Terry McMorris	F	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Little Rock

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ante Beljan	F	35	6-11	0-0	2-5	1	2	1	1	14
Isaiah Lewis	G	36	3-7	2-4	3-4	3	4	1	0	11
Tuongthach Gatkek	F	38	4-7	0-0	2-4	10	4	3	3	10
Mwani Wilkinson	Guard	32	3-11	1-4	2-2	3	1	1	1	9
Johnathan Lawson	G	37	2-7	0-3	2-2	3	2	1	1	6
Jordan Jefferson	Guard	15	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	2
Creed Williamson	Forward	5	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Caleb Pennyfeather	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.6Possessions62.6

89.5Offensive Efficiency86.3

86.3Defensive Efficiency89.5

3.2Net Efficiency-3.2

45.8%Effective FG%46.7%

49.9%True Shooting %49.9%

27.4%Turnover Rate22.2%

35.4%Free Throw Rate37.0%

41.7%3-Point Rate23.9%

0.71Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Eastern Illinois won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 62.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.