Southern Miss

19-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

27.3%Southern Miss

72.7%Troy

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTroy -7.9

PROJECTED TOTAL152.6

MODEL MONEYLINETroy -266

Troy

22-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouthern Miss 72

Projected Total152.6

Projected ScoreTroy 80

Team Comparison

Southern MissMetricTroy

49.9MMH Power Index54.1

106.1Offensive Efficiency112.6

104.9Defensive Efficiency103.9

1.2Net Efficiency8.7

-0.2Strength of Schedule-2.2

3.8Last 10 Net Efficiency2.0

70.4Tempo70.4

49.9%Effective FG%52.1%

18.4%Turnover Rate17.1%

32.3%Offensive Rebound %35.3%

43.9%Free Throw Rate36.8%

0.9Average Margin6.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Troy HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY72.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTroy holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.1–49.9), offensive efficiency (112.6–106.1), defensive efficiency (103.9–104.9), net efficiency (8.7–1.2).

Southern Miss COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.2–-2.2), recent form (3.8–2.0), free throw rate (43.9–36.8).

Final

Southern Miss

61—70

Troy

Troy by 9 • 73.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Southern MissTEAM STATTroy

23-58FG22-55

40.0%FG%40.0%

6-193PT9-25

32.0%3PT%36.0%

9-15FT17-24

60.0%FT%71.0%

33Rebounds43

6Offensive Rebounds11

11Assists15

16Turnovers17

8Steals11

2Blocks4

19Fouls18

Player Box Score

Southern Miss

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Denijay Harris	Forward	33	9-15	2-2	1-4	7	0	1	2	21
Neftali Alvarez	Guard	20	3-5	1-1	0-0	1	2	0	0	7
John Wade III	Guard	13	2-5	1-1	2-2	3	0	1	0	7
Cobie Montgomery	Guard	25	2-8	1-6	1-1	2	1	0	0	6
Christian Reid	Guard	10	1-1	0-0	3-4	0	0	1	0	5
DeAntoni Gordon	Forward	28	2-4	0-0	0-0	6	0	0	0	4
Christian Watson	G	22	1-3	1-2	1-2	2	2	1	0	4
Andre Curbelo	Guard	22	2-7	0-1	0-0	3	5	2	0	4
Jose Benitez	Guard	2	1-1	0-0	1-2	0	1	1	0	3
Alfred Worrell Jr.	G	17	0-7	0-6	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Jeffery Armstrong	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jett Montgomery	G	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Brewer Carruth	G	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Trey Alfonso	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Troy

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tayton Conerway	G	28	5-10	2-4	5-8	4	4	3	0	17
Thomas Dowd	F	24	4-8	4-7	3-3	9	1	1	1	15
Theo Seng	F	15	3-5	1-2	3-4	6	2	1	0	10
Myles Rigsby	G	29	2-9	0-1	3-4	5	1	1	1	7
Jackson Fields	F	21	3-5	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	7
Cooper Campbell	G	22	1-3	0-2	3-3	2	3	1	0	5
Marcus Rigsby Jr.	G	17	2-6	1-5	0-0	4	2	1	0	5
Randarius Jones	C	13	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	1	2
Jerrell Bellamy	C	6	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	2	0	2
Victor Valdes	F	13	0-4	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Kerrington Kiel	F	9	0-1	0-1	0-1	4	1	0	1	0
Jackson Porch	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-1	1	0	0	0	0
Braydon Whitaker	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Kameryn Mitchell	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.8Possessions73.8

82.7Offensive Efficiency94.9

94.9Defensive Efficiency82.7

-12.2Net Efficiency12.2

44.8%Effective FG%48.2%

46.8%True Shooting %52.7%

21.3%Turnover Rate23.5%

25.9%Free Throw Rate43.6%

32.8%3-Point Rate45.5%

0.69Assist / Turnover0.88

Game Summary

Troy won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 73.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.