Penn State

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

1.0%Penn State

99.0%Michigan

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMichigan -32.7

PROJECTED TOTAL158.7

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan -9900

Michigan

36-3

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePenn State 63

Projected Total158.7

Projected ScoreMichigan 96

Team Comparison

Penn StateMetricMichigan

42.3MMH Power Index80.9

109.2Offensive Efficiency122.3

117.6Defensive Efficiency97.0

-8.4Net Efficiency25.3

5.3Strength of Schedule8.7

-20.8Last 10 Net Efficiency17.2

67.5Tempo71.8

53.4%Effective FG%58.8%

15.6%Turnover Rate16.4%

25.6%Offensive Rebound %34.6%

34.6%Free Throw Rate38.9%

-5.7Average Margin18.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY99.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMichigan holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (80.9–42.3), offensive efficiency (122.3–109.2), defensive efficiency (97.0–117.6), net efficiency (25.3–-8.4).

Penn State COUNTERS WITHball security (15.6–16.4).

Final

Penn State

72—76

Michigan

Michigan by 4 • 68.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Penn StateTEAM STATMichigan

25-51FG30-62

49.0%FG%48.0%

9-193PT12-28

47.0%3PT%43.0%

13-16FT4-9

81.0%FT%44.0%

34Rebounds26

7Offensive Rebounds7

13Assists18

18Turnovers9

6Steals7

3Blocks2

14Fouls17

Player Box Score

Penn State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nick Kern Jr.	Guard	36	6-12	0-0	4-6	10	2	2	0	16
Ace Baldwin Jr.	Guard	40	5-12	3-8	2-2	3	6	3	1	15
D'Marco Dunn	Guard	28	4-5	3-4	2-2	2	1	0	0	13
Yanic Konan Niederhauser	Forward	19	3-5	0-0	3-4	5	1	1	2	9
Freddie Dilione V	G	29	2-7	2-3	2-2	3	2	0	0	8
Zach Hicks	Forward	33	3-7	1-4	0-0	3	1	0	0	7
Kachi Nzeh	F	13	2-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	4
Miles Goodman	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Michigan

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tre Donaldson	G	34	8-13	3-7	2-2	3	7	4	0	21
Danny Wolf	Center	27	4-11	2-2	1-5	9	1	0	2	11
Nimari Burnett	G	31	4-10	2-8	0-0	3	4	0	0	10
Roddy Gayle Jr.	G	32	4-11	0-2	1-2	3	3	2	0	9
Will Tschetter	F	19	3-4	1-1	0-0	3	1	0	0	7
Rubin Jones	Guard	23	2-5	2-5	0-0	0	0	0	0	6
Sam Walters	F	11	2-3	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	5
Vladislav Goldin	Not Available	17	2-4	0-0	0-0	3	1	1	0	4
Justin Pippen	G	3	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	3
L.J. Cason	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.9Possessions68.9

104.5Offensive Efficiency110.3

110.3Defensive Efficiency104.5

-5.8Net Efficiency5.8

57.8%Effective FG%58.1%

61.4%True Shooting %57.3%

25.9%Turnover Rate13.2%

31.4%Free Throw Rate14.5%

37.3%3-Point Rate45.2%

0.72Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Michigan won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 68.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.