South Alabama

21-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

85.5%South Alabama

14.5%UL Monroe

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouth Alabama -11.7

PROJECTED TOTAL152.5

MODEL MONEYLINESouth Alabama -590

UL Monroe

4-28

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouth Alabama 82

Projected Total152.5

Projected ScoreUL Monroe 70

Team Comparison

South AlabamaMetricUL Monroe

51.4MMH Power Index30.9

110.3Offensive Efficiency101.1

103.9Defensive Efficiency117.1

6.4Net Efficiency-16.0

-3.7Strength of Schedule-1.0

3.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-16.2

67.4Tempo71.7

53.2%Effective FG%48.1%

12.8%Turnover Rate16.9%

24.9%Offensive Rebound %25.3%

39.8%Free Throw Rate40.6%

4.3Average Margin-11.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

South Alabama HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY85.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouth Alabama holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.4–30.9), offensive efficiency (110.3–101.1), defensive efficiency (103.9–117.1), net efficiency (6.4–-16.0).

UL Monroe COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.0–-3.7), offensive rebounding (25.3–24.9), free throw rate (40.6–39.8).

Final

South Alabama

66—77

UL Monroe

UL Monroe by 11 • 68.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

South AlabamaTEAM STATUL Monroe

24-70FG21-52

34.0%FG%40.0%

10-393PT11-30

26.0%3PT%37.0%

8-13FT24-26

62.0%FT%92.0%

35Rebounds44

14Offensive Rebounds10

17Assists20

6Turnovers14

8Steals5

—Blocks5

20Fouls13

Player Box Score

South Alabama

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Dylan Fasoyiro	Guard	20	4-6	2-4	5-5	3	1	2	15
Myles Corey	G	33	6-14	1-5	1-2	1	7	1	14
John Broom	G	35	4-7	4-5	0-0	5	1	2	12
Barry Dunning Jr.	G	28	3-16	0-4	0-0	9	5	0	6
Jayden Cooper	G	14	2-7	1-6	0-0	2	1	0	5
Cantia Rahming	Forward	13	1-3	0-2	2-4	4	0	0	4
Randy Brady	F	22	1-5	1-3	0-2	3	1	2	3
Judah Brown	Forward	17	1-7	1-7	0-0	2	0	0	3
JJ Wheat	G	13	1-2	0-1	0-0	2	1	1	2
Elijah Ormiston	Forward	5	1-3	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	2

UL Monroe

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Coltie Young	Guard	37	9-20	5-15	4-4	7	1	0	0	27
Makai Willis	C	33	4-8	0-0	9-9	7	0	1	3	17
Jalen Bolden	G	36	4-8	3-4	1-2	4	4	3	0	12
Jacob Wilson	G	29	2-8	2-7	5-6	8	5	0	0	11
Tyreese Watson	G	33	2-5	1-3	5-5	5	9	1	1	10
AD Diedhiou	Forward	13	0-0	0-0	0-0	5	1	0	1	0
Jerry Ngopot	F	12	0-2	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	0
Renars Sondors	F	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	4	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.3Possessions68.3

96.6Offensive Efficiency112.7

112.7Defensive Efficiency96.6

-16.1Net Efficiency16.1

41.4%Effective FG%51.0%

43.3%True Shooting %59.8%

8.8%Turnover Rate20.5%

18.6%Free Throw Rate50.0%

55.7%3-Point Rate57.7%

2.83Assist / Turnover1.43

Game Summary

UL Monroe won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 68.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.