Northwestern State

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

30.6%Northwestern State

69.4%Lamar

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLamar -7.0

PROJECTED TOTAL136.2

MODEL MONEYLINELamar -227

Lamar

12-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthwestern State 65

Projected Total136.2

Projected ScoreLamar 72

Team Comparison

Northwestern StateMetricLamar

41.3MMH Power Index44.1

104.0Offensive Efficiency105.0

109.0Defensive Efficiency103.8

-5.0Net Efficiency1.2

-1.6Strength of Schedule-3.0

-4.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-8.2

63.6Tempo66.6

49.5%Effective FG%48.8%

17.6%Turnover Rate18.0%

27.1%Offensive Rebound %35.5%

41.2%Free Throw Rate28.5%

-3.2Average Margin0.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Lamar HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLamar holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.1–41.3), offensive efficiency (105.0–104.0), defensive efficiency (103.8–109.0), net efficiency (1.2–-5.0).

Northwestern State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.6–-3.0), recent form (-4.9–-8.2), shooting efficiency (49.5–48.8).

Final

Northwestern State

59—69

Lamar

Lamar by 10 • 61.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northwestern StateTEAM STATLamar

20-58FG21-60

34.0%FG%35.0%

5-153PT10-28

33.0%3PT%36.0%

14-26FT17-26

54.0%FT%65.0%

44Rebounds43

18Offensive Rebounds18

9Assists15

9Turnovers7

1Steals3

6Blocks9

21Fouls22

Player Box Score

Northwestern State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Addison Patterson	F	28	5-16	0-1	4-8	6	3	0	0	14
Justin Redmond	G	21	3-4	2-3	5-8	2	0	0	0	13
Willie Williams	F	31	4-7	0-0	0-2	9	0	0	0	8
Micah Thomas	G	31	3-14	2-6	0-0	6	2	0	0	8
Jon Sanders II	G	8	2-4	1-2	2-2	0	0	1	0	7
Jerald Colonel	F	18	2-5	0-0	0-2	10	0	0	4	4
Love Bettis	G	18	1-4	0-2	0-0	0	3	0	0	2
Landyn Jumawan	G	12	0-1	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Lado Laku	Forward	19	0-1	0-0	1-2	6	1	0	2	1
JT Warren	Forward	11	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Chris Mubiru	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Lamar

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Alexis Marmolejos	G	28	4-13	3-11	3-4	1	2	0	0	14
Ja'Sean Jackson	Guard	29	3-12	3-6	4-6	0	1	1	0	13
Adam Hamilton	Center	26	5-8	0-0	3-5	14	2	0	4	13
Danquez Dawsey	Guard	18	3-5	2-4	2-3	3	3	1	0	10
Cody Pennebaker	G	30	4-7	1-1	0-0	5	1	0	1	9
Andrew Holifield	F	32	2-8	1-4	2-2	4	2	1	1	7
Terrance Dixon Jr.	F	8	0-3	0-0	2-2	7	0	0	2	2
Janko Bulajic	C	7	0-0	0-0	1-4	2	0	0	0	1
Errol White	F	15	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	3	0	0	0
Jayden Barrs	G	7	0-3	0-2	0-0	2	1	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.4Possessions61.4

96.1Offensive Efficiency112.4

112.4Defensive Efficiency96.1

-16.3Net Efficiency16.3

38.8%Effective FG%43.3%

41.9%True Shooting %47.7%

14.7%Turnover Rate11.4%

44.8%Free Throw Rate43.3%

25.9%3-Point Rate46.7%

1.00Assist / Turnover2.14

Game Summary

Lamar won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 61.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.