Western Michigan

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

41.5%Western Michigan

58.5%Ball State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBall State -3.9

PROJECTED TOTAL146.4

MODEL MONEYLINEBall State -141

Ball State

12-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWestern Michigan 71

Projected Total146.4

Projected ScoreBall State 75

Team Comparison

Western MichiganMetricBall State

42.8MMH Power Index41.3

106.9Offensive Efficiency101.7

113.6Defensive Efficiency104.7

-6.7Net Efficiency-3.0

2.0Strength of Schedule-3.9

-9.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.9

69.9Tempo66.4

50.3%Effective FG%48.3%

17.3%Turnover Rate16.0%

31.0%Offensive Rebound %26.5%

34.6%Free Throw Rate33.0%

-4.7Average Margin-2.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Western Michigan HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY58.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWestern Michigan holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (42.8–41.3), offensive efficiency (106.9–101.7), strength of schedule (2.0–-3.9), shooting efficiency (50.3–48.3).

Ball State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.7–113.6), net efficiency (-3.0–-6.7), recent form (-0.9–-9.7).

Final

Western Michigan

74—71

Ball State

Western Michigan by 3 • 64.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Western MichiganTEAM STATBall State

28-58FG25-57

48.0%FG%44.0%

6-143PT6-21

43.0%3PT%29.0%

12-17FT15-24

71.0%FT%63.0%

32Rebounds39

10Offensive Rebounds17

13Assists11

8Turnovers13

5Steals1

5Blocks4

22Fouls15

Player Box Score

Western Michigan

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
JaVaughn Hannah	G	33	7-15	2-3	1-2	4	1	0	0	17
Markhi Strickland	G	30	7-12	1-2	2-2	3	1	1	0	17
Donovan Williams	Guard	34	6-10	1-3	3-4	7	2	0	0	16
Chansey Willis Jr.	G	30	2-10	0-3	4-5	6	7	1	0	8
Max Burton	F	22	3-4	0-0	2-2	3	2	1	3	8
EJ Ryans	G	16	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	3
Brandon Muntu	G	13	1-3	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Michael Sulaka	F	12	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	2	2
Seryee Lewis	F	6	0-1	0-0	0-2	0	0	1	0	0
Marquese Josephs	Guard	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Ball State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Fatt Hill	G	37	8-20	0-2	3-6	6	4	0	0	19
Payton Sparks	Center	31	5-6	0-0	9-13	17	1	1	3	19
Juanse Gorosito	G	31	4-12	2-8	0-1	2	1	0	0	10
Mickey Pearson Jr.	Forward	38	3-7	2-5	1-2	2	1	0	0	9
Joey Hart	G	17	2-4	1-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	5
Ben Hendriks	Center	7	2-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	1	4
Ethan Brittain-Watts	Guard	27	1-4	1-3	0-0	2	2	0	0	3
Jeremiah Hernandez	Guard	8	0-1	0-1	2-2	1	1	0	0	2
Mason Jones	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Zane Doughty	C	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.3Possessions64.3

115.1Offensive Efficiency110.4

110.4Defensive Efficiency115.1

4.7Net Efficiency-4.7

53.4%Effective FG%49.1%

56.0%True Shooting %51.9%

12.5%Turnover Rate20.2%

29.3%Free Throw Rate42.1%

24.1%3-Point Rate36.8%

1.63Assist / Turnover0.85

Game Summary

Western Michigan won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 64.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.